Is the NFL season already over?

We are entering the sixth week of the 2018 NFL season. And though we’re only a third of the way through the season, is your team’s fate already sealed? Quite a bit may have been decided in the opening game. How predictive could that opening game be? Analytics has shown again and again that the result of the first regular-season game offers genuine insight into the outcome of the season….

October 3, 2018
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FIPping Out: The Luckiest Pitchers in Baseball

September 19, 2018

When we think of a pitcher’s production, most people will bring up two statistics: wins and earned run average (ERA). But in the sabermetrics era, researchers have found that in reality, one of these two stats is highly controlled by other means. Wins are a product of both the offensive results of the pitcher’s team and are not an isolated measure of a pitcher’s ability, rather they are indicative of…

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Basketball’s Perfect 10

August 13, 2018

What is a perfect game in basketball? We all know about the perfecto in baseball and perfect 10 in gymnastics. Even the NFL’s passer rating metric has a maximum value. But is there a way to quantify that a player had a flawless game in hoops? Do they need to make every shot? A pitcher does not need to throw entirely strikes to pitch a perfect game, neither does a…

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So You’re Saying There’s a Chance? Poisson World Cup Predictions

June 30, 2018

The game of soccer is an interesting one. A team can outshoot the other and have far better chances, but end up losing. Likewise, a team playing poorly can have one big chance in the whole match and use it to score the game’s only goal. As we have seen so far in the 2018 FIFA World Cup, there have been many outcomes and statistics that we have not expected….

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Feeding LeBron

June 29, 2018

Phones pinged like 3-point attempts in the playoffs. LeBron James informed the Cavs that he would decline his option and, indeed, become a free agent. Where could the King fit in his quest to sit atop the NBA championship? While LeBron can take a team far, we saw this season that the road, while possibly long in the post-season, is one that, to LeBron’s dismay, might ultimately have a Golden…

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College World Series Baseball Rankings 2018

June 12, 2018

The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of the other teams in the nation. In essence, the Colley method uses strength of schedule…

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Injury Impact in the NBA

June 11, 2018

Led by Davidson’s own Stephen Curry and Finals MVP Kevin Durant, the dynastic Golden State Warriors completed the first NBA Finals sweep since 2007 over LeBron’s Cleveland Cavaliers. The decisive victory showcased both the star power and depth of this juggernaut team over a James- led Cavs squad with minimal other effective role players. The arsenal of weapons the Dubs had at their disposal this series was tremendous, which begs…

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Even wishful thinking leads to plausible FIFA World Cup rankings!

June 9, 2018

The 2018 FIFA World Cup begins next week. In an era of sports analytics, legalized gambling, and online bracket challenges (thanks March Madness), it’s time for many of us to sit down and make our own World Cup predictions. Motivated by an off-the-cuff ranking exercise that I assigned in my undergraduate course on soccer analytics earlier this Spring, I describe a ranking method that results from focusing on the country…

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Super College Baseball Rankings 2018

June 6, 2018

The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of the other teams in the nation. In essence, the Colley method uses strength of schedule…

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Ranking College Baseball 2018

May 22, 2018

The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of the other teams in the nation. In essence, the Colley method uses strength of schedule…

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