• Texas Southern Passes Through Eugene and Stuns the Ducks
  • Gonzaga Passes by #1 Duke
  • Michigan Defeats Villanova in National Championship Rematch
  • Running Away with The Record Books: Davidson Football
  • Wild for Passes in 2018 Home Opener

MATHness odds

The March MATHness site has a new feature that produces a bracket. Behind the ratings are probabilities. I decided to try my own weightings with March Madness and see what probabilities popped out! Here they are! And, may I note that Davidson has the best odds for the 5-12 upset that is so often anticipated in the Madness. May the odds be ever in your favor as you make your…

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Assisting Bracketology

Editor’s note: Cats Stats has a new analytics tool for analyzing assists. Here, Julia Sultz, a math major at the University of South Carolina in the Honors College, offers her insight from a project completed remotely with Cats Stats.I believe that one of the greatest chances for an upset in the tournament this year could be Loyola-Chicago over Miami (Fla.). At 28-5, Loyola-Chicago averages 15.8 assists and 72.4 points per…

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Davidson Passes Its Way into the Tournament

In this week’s Assist Map, we take a closer look at Davidson’s run in the Atlantic 10 Tournament. On Saturday, March 10, the Wildcats defeated St. Bonaventure in Washington, D.C. by a score of 82-70 to set up a pivotal showdown with Rhode Island. Their outstanding performance in this game helped them eventually make the NCAA Tournament.In their win over the Bonnies, Davidson compiled 23 assists on 28 made field…

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Predicting March Madness

Last summer I received funding from a Velay Fellowship from Haverford College to do sports analytics research at Davidson College in North Carolina and my main project was developing an algorithm to predict outcomes in the NCAA Division I March Madness Men’s Basketball Tournament. I finished my project in August and was able to backtest five years and demonstrate that my algorithm would have outperformed other methods (including fivethirtyeight, Power…

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The Truth Behind the 12-5 Upset

Everyone knows that you can’t fill out a bracket without picking at least one 12 seed to upset a 5 in the first round. While this well-known phenomenon has been backed up with data showing that it truly does happen more than you would expect, there has been almost no study into why exactly it happens. That is, until now. The truth of the matter is the 12-5 upset isn’t…

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Peyton By the Numbers

The 2017-18 regular season ended with a Wildcat splash! In the final week, Davidson beat Rhode Island as the Cats truly went wild on their home court. Earlier in the week, the Cats went to triple overtime with Peyton Aldridge scoring a career high 45 points, which surpassed Stephen Curry’s career high of 44. It was more than a big week, it was a huge year for Aldridge. Let’s look…

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Just HOW hot was Peyton Aldridge?

Tuesday night’s much anticipated tilt with St. Bonaventure was a delightful display of basketball. The triple overtime barn burner lasted past midnight. It was the first time in five years that five players scored over 30 points in the same contest. Peyton Aldridge scored 45, which is more than Steph Curry ever scored in a game as a Wildcat. (Curry mustered 44 as a career high at Davidson.) While Aldridge’s…

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Villanova’s Passing Takes Down Xavier

This week, as part of the weekly blog series analyzing assist data from notable college basketball games, we head toward the Big East for a showdown between the top two teams in the conference—#3 Villanova and #4 Xavier. On Saturday, February 17th, the Wildcats went on the road and defeated the fourth-ranked Musketeers in a high-scoring game, 95-79. The Villanova Wildcats rank third in the country in points per game…

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Assisting Tar Heels

In the second edition of our weekly blog series covering assist data from noteworthy games throughout the college basketball season, we examine a game from college basketball’s biggest rivalry: Duke-UNC. On Thursday, February 8th, the Tar Heels hosted the Blue Devils at the Dean Dome in their first meeting of the season and defeated their rivals in a thriller, 82-78. Despite scoring about their average in points, the Tar Heels…

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