‘Nova’s Dominant Run through the Bracket

April 4, 2018

In the final edition of the season of Assist Map, we examine the National Championship game between #1 seed and #3 seed Michigan. On Monday, April 2nd, the Villanova Wildcats defeated the Michigan Wolverines 79-62 to win their third championship and second in the last three years. In spite of their unusually quiet overall team performance, especially by National Player of the Year Jalen Brunson (4-13 from the field), the…

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Loyola Rambles into the Final Four

March 26, 2018

In this week’s version of Assist Map Monday, we examine 11 seed Loyola University Chicago’s matchup over 9 seed Kansas State in the first ever game between a 9 seed and an 11 seed. On Friday, March 23rd, Loyola defeated Kansas State 78-62, leading them to the Final Four. The Ramblers from Chicago used some terrific passing and shot-making to will themselves past the Wildcats from Manhattan, Kansas. On the…

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The Sweetest 16 Seed – UMBC Takes Down #1

March 19, 2018

In this week’s edition of Assist Map Monday, we take a look at University of Maryland, Baltimore County’s (UMBC) stunning upset over top seed Virginia. On Friday, March 16, the UMBC Retrievers defeated the Virginia Cavaliers in Charlotte by a score of 74-54 to mark the first ever win for a 16 seed over a 1 seed in men’s college basketball. The Retrievers used some incredible shot-making to defeat top-ranked…

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Playing from the Bench: a walk-on’s role

March 15, 2018

March Madness has struck Davidson College – driven by the team’s A10 championship and star players. But it’s important to remember the players that almost never take the court. The team’s walk-ons go to great lengths to prepare the Wildcats for the high-level competition they face all season. A walk-on — or non-scholarship — player is someone may not rack up the most minutes or points but they still have a…

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MATHness odds

March 15, 2018

The March MATHness site has a new feature that produces a bracket. Behind the ratings are probabilities. I decided to try my own weightings with March Madness and see what probabilities popped out! Here they are! And, may I note that Davidson has the best odds for the 5-12 upset that is so often anticipated in the Madness. May the odds be ever in your favor as you make your…

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Assisting Bracketology

March 14, 2018

Editor’s note: Cats Stats has a new analytics tool for analyzing assists. Here, Julia Sultz, a math major at the University of South Carolina in the Honors College, offers her insight from a project completed remotely with Cats Stats. I believe that one of the greatest chances for an upset in the tournament this year could be Loyola-Chicago over Miami (Fla.). At 28-5, Loyola-Chicago averages 15.8 assists and 72.4 points…

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Predicting March Madness

March 12, 2018

Last summer I received funding from a Velay Fellowship from Haverford College to do sports analytics research at Davidson College in North Carolina and my main project was developing an algorithm to predict outcomes in the NCAA Division I March Madness Men’s Basketball Tournament. I finished my project in August and was able to backtest five years and demonstrate that my algorithm would have outperformed other methods (including fivethirtyeight, Power…

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The Truth Behind the 12-5 Upset

Everyone knows that you can’t fill out a bracket without picking at least one 12 seed to upset a 5 in the first round. While this well-known phenomenon has been backed up with data showing that it truly does happen more than you would expect, there has been almost no study into why exactly it happens. That is, until now. The truth of the matter is the 12-5 upset isn’t…

March 11, 2018
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