College World Series Baseball Rankings 2018

The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of the other teams in the nation. In essence, the Colley method uses strength of schedule to produce its ranking; the Massey method employs strength of schedule together with margin of victory. All 8072 games between Division I opponents occurring in the 2018 season, from February 16 through June 11, including the conference tournaments, regionals, and super regionals, were used to produce these rankings. We use uniform weighting: each game is treated equally.

The Colley ranking was one of the six objective methods used to help rank NCAA FBS college football teams between 1998 and 2013 under the BCS ranking system. Another one of these methods was also designed by Kenneth Massey, who invented the eponymous method used here, but the Massey algorithm employed in college football is not the same as the method we use.

You can experiment with these ranking methods applied to international soccer at a companion website. On that site you may specify the importance of a number factors for soccer matches, and we produce a customized ranking of the teams playing in the FIFA World Cup.

You can contrast these rankings with a number of NCAA Division I Baseball Rankings available from the NCAA, including RPI and poll-based methods, and with the Massey Ratings for NCAA Division I Baseball.

Rankings for Teams in the College World Series

Colley Ranking

Massey Ranking

  1. Oregon State 0.959145
  2. Florida 0.902254
  3. Arkansas 0.894261
  4. Texas Tech 0.862287
  5. North Carolina 0.850191
  6. Texas 0.824663
  7. Mississippi State 0.760549
  8. Washington 0.738032
  1. Oregon State 6.56171
  2. Arkansas 5.98997
  3. Texas Tech 5.63436
  4. Florida 5.50825
  5. North Carolina 4.94687
  6. Mississippi State 4.04226
  7. Texas 3.77183
  8. Washington 3.44052

Rankings for All Division I Teams

Colley Ranking

Massey Ranking

  1. Oregon State 0.959145
  2. Stanford 0.932567
  3. Mississippi 0.90469
  4. Florida 0.902254
  5. Arkansas 0.894261
  6. Texas Tech 0.862287
  7. Clemson 0.854898
  8. North Carolina 0.850191
  9. Georgia 0.839404
  10. Florida State 0.838463
  11. Auburn 0.837382
  12. Stetson 0.830886
  13. East Carolina 0.827662
  14. Tennessee Tech 0.826357
  15. Texas 0.824663
  16. Texas A&M 0.824041
  17. Minnesota 0.817624
  18. Duke 0.803483
  19. Louisville 0.803255
  20. Coastal Carolina 0.797647
  21. UCLA 0.795765
  22. North Carolina State 0.794764
  23. Louisiana State 0.784419
  24. Southern Mississippi 0.77285
  25. Kentucky 0.7673
  26. Florida Atlantic 0.762014
  27. Mississippi State 0.760549
  28. Missouri State 0.760248
  29. South Carolina 0.759786
  30. Vanderbilt 0.758132
  31. Indiana 0.754953
  32. Baylor 0.753532
  33. Troy 0.747742
  34. South Florida 0.745718
  35. Oklahoma 0.739158
  36. Cal State Fullerton 0.739015
  37. Washington 0.738032
  38. San Diego State 0.737973
  39. Missouri 0.736395
  40. Houston 0.726706
  41. Connecticut 0.725791
  42. Dallas Baptist 0.725318
  43. Central Florida 0.72357
  44. Jacksonville 0.722401
  45. Arizona 0.721622
  46. Texas Christian 0.710761
  47. Wichita State 0.708671
  48. Sam Houston State 0.699993
  49. St. John’s 0.69935
  50. Louisiana Tech 0.699194
  51. Oklahoma State 0.696105
  52. Illinois 0.694591
  53. Purdue 0.69377
  54. Louisiana-Lafayette 0.693343
  55. California 0.691701
  56. North Carolina-Greensboro 0.682181
  57. South Alabama 0.680077
  58. Ohio State 0.679476
  59. Northeastern 0.678821
  60. Creighton 0.675224
  61. Georgia Tech 0.673222
  62. Nevada-Las Vegas 0.667683
  63. Tennessee 0.667285
  64. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.659113
  65. Gonzaga 0.65864
  66. Miami_Florida 0.656296
  67. West Virginia 0.65621
  68. College of Charleston 0.650903
  69. Alabama 0.649567
  70. UC Irvine 0.648139
  71. Southeastern Louisiana 0.647576
  72. Michigan 0.646434
  73. Nevada 0.640491
  74. Kent State 0.638054
  75. North Carolina-Charlotte 0.636641
  76. Pepperdine 0.63551
  77. Iowa 0.635246
  78. Georgia Southern 0.631488
  79. Virginia 0.630915
  80. Oregon 0.625914
  81. Wright State 0.624912
  82. Fresno State 0.622289
  83. Texas-San Antonio 0.621348
  84. New Mexico State 0.618358
  85. Southern California 0.61287
  86. Long Beach State 0.609919
  87. Cal Poly 0.607521
  88. Indiana State 0.607389
  89. Texas State 0.605961
  90. Cincinnati 0.603635
  91. Grand Canyon 0.60353
  92. Sacramento State 0.599709
  93. Northwestern State 0.599331
  94. Samford 0.599016
  95. Florida Gulf Coast 0.598398
  96. St. Mary’s 0.598046
  97. Tulane 0.597284
  98. St. Louis 0.59665
  99. Bradley 0.596373
  100. Elon 0.595224
  101. Hawaii 0.590901
  102. Kansas 0.588349
  103. Seton Hall 0.587331
  104. Wofford 0.586062
  105. Wake Forest 0.5856
  106. Rice 0.583732
  107. Arizona State 0.57976
  108. Arkansas-Little Rock 0.577613
  109. Pittsburgh 0.575199
  110. Mercer 0.572907
  111. Nebraska 0.568596
  112. Cal State Northridge 0.566764
  113. Santa Clara 0.564822
  114. Notre Dame 0.564517
  115. Georgia State 0.557715
  116. Army 0.556973
  117. Central Arkansas 0.556801
  118. San Diego 0.556563
  119. Davidson 0.555273
  120. Campbell 0.554357
  121. High Point 0.55433
  122. Morehead State 0.55389
  123. Jacksonville State 0.553403
  124. Oral Roberts 0.55258
  125. North Florida 0.550649
  126. Fordham 0.548902
  127. San Jose State 0.547476
  128. UC Santa Barbara 0.547248
  129. Butler 0.546833
  130. Seattle 0.545621
  131. San Francisco 0.542697
  132. Middle Tennessee State 0.541818
  133. Miami_Ohio 0.536819
  134. Virginia Commonwealth 0.532924
  135. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.53276
  136. Navy 0.532501
  137. Kansas State 0.531728
  138. Florida International 0.531463
  139. Houston Baptist 0.531033
  140. Loyola Marymount 0.529172
  141. Kennesaw State 0.528476
  142. Richmond 0.527805
  143. Maryland 0.526653
  144. Austin Peay State 0.522324
  145. Wagner 0.516935
  146. Southern Illinois 0.516147
  147. Liberty 0.515428
  148. Portland 0.512972
  149. George Washington 0.511396
  150. New Orleans 0.505972
  151. Pacific 0.503613
  152. East Tennessee State 0.502795
  153. Virginia Tech 0.498677
  154. Brigham Young 0.496377
  155. New Mexico 0.493033
  156. Air Force 0.492671
  157. Illinois State 0.492448
  158. Rutgers 0.492362
  159. Canisius 0.488429
  160. Ball State 0.486621
  161. Rhode Island 0.48573
  162. Gardner-Webb 0.484097
  163. Texas-Arlington 0.483622
  164. James Madison 0.483357
  165. Arkansas State 0.483077
  166. Washington State 0.482469
  167. Furman 0.479562
  168. Bryant 0.479263
  169. Incarnate Word 0.476723
  170. Lipscomb 0.476678
  171. Memphis 0.476014
  172. Delaware 0.471919
  173. Illinois-Chicago 0.469926
  174. VMI 0.469821
  175. Louisiana-Monroe 0.467171
  176. Northern Colorado 0.462587
  177. McNeese State 0.462138
  178. Nicholls State 0.462124
  179. Boston College 0.454103
  180. Eastern Kentucky 0.453913
  181. Western Kentucky 0.450743
  182. UC Riverside 0.449471
  183. Marist 0.447839
  184. Michigan State 0.443588
  185. Alabama-Birmingham 0.442904
  186. Stony Brook 0.441785
  187. Hofstra 0.438457
  188. Jackson State 0.437851
  189. George Mason 0.435771
  190. Harvard 0.434378
  191. Monmouth 0.43336
  192. UC Davis 0.432672
  193. Utah 0.428828
  194. Southeast Missouri State 0.428211
  195. Hartford 0.425138
  196. Yale 0.420389
  197. Central Michigan 0.420162
  198. North Carolina A&T 0.413933
  199. Western Michigan 0.412653
  200. Appalachian State 0.412183
  201. Winthrop 0.409462
  202. Xavier 0.405449
  203. Texas-Rio Grande Valley 0.405086
  204. South Carolina-Upstate 0.404568
  205. New Jersey Tech 0.403781
  206. Valparaiso 0.402288
  207. Georgetown 0.401316
  208. Marshall 0.399268
  209. Massachusetts-Lowell 0.399065
  210. Radford 0.397538
  211. Columbia 0.394898
  212. CSU Bakersfield 0.392437
  213. Alabama State 0.390266
  214. Murray State 0.390056
  215. North Carolina Central 0.390049
  216. Lamar 0.379362
  217. Eastern Illinois 0.377757
  218. Dayton 0.377594
  219. Toledo 0.37474
  220. Holy Cross 0.372101
  221. St. Joseph’s 0.369978
  222. Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.369665
  223. Bethune-Cookman 0.3693
  224. Texas Southern 0.367903
  225. LIU-Brooklyn 0.366705
  226. Manhattan 0.363559
  227. The Citadel 0.363264
  228. Northwestern 0.356995
  229. Old Dominion 0.34048
  230. Fairfield 0.340064
  231. North Dakota State 0.339135
  232. Bucknell 0.338685
  233. Penn State 0.338485
  234. Dartmouth 0.338034
  235. Quinnipiac 0.336384
  236. Eastern Michigan 0.335904
  237. Maryland-Baltimore County 0.332443
  238. Lehigh 0.330812
  239. Utah Valley 0.329694
  240. Cornell 0.327885
  241. Florida A&M 0.319921
  242. Charleston Southern 0.319682
  243. Stephen F. Austin State 0.317257
  244. Maine 0.312268
  245. Belmont 0.312061
  246. William and Mary 0.311314
  247. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 0.310196
  248. Niagara 0.309813
  249. Northern Illinois 0.302199
  250. Binghamton 0.299778
  251. Siena 0.298223
  252. Grambling State 0.295645
  253. Abilene Christian 0.292153
  254. Albany 0.291302
  255. Oakland 0.277528
  256. Evansville 0.276692
  257. South Dakota State 0.272817
  258. Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0.272289
  259. Western Carolina 0.270367
  260. Massachusetts 0.263136
  261. Youngstown State 0.260775
  262. Longwood 0.255969
  263. Chicago State 0.253929
  264. Pennsylvania 0.251376
  265. Ohio 0.251095
  266. Mount St. Mary’s 0.244261
  267. Central Connecticut State 0.242854
  268. North Carolina-Asheville 0.242656
  269. Tennessee-Martin 0.235185
  270. Presbyterian 0.235009
  271. Brown 0.232744
  272. Western Illinois 0.228023
  273. Lafayette 0.226531
  274. Princeton 0.222933
  275. Iona 0.21933
  276. Nebraska-Omaha 0.214037
  277. Northern Kentucky 0.211443
  278. Sacred Heart 0.208253
  279. Towson 0.188682
  280. Coppin State 0.186252
  281. Bowling Green State 0.170139
  282. LaSalle 0.163427
  283. St. Bonaventure 0.162774
  284. Alabama A&M 0.158608
  285. Villanova 0.142552
  286. Norfolk State 0.107493
  287. IPFW 0.106478
  288. Rider 0.104423
  289. Prairie View A&M 0.104085
  290. Alcorn State 0.102997
  291. Southern 0.101338
  292. Savannah State 0.0741095
  293. Mississippi Valley State 0.0720644
  294. Fairleigh Dickinson 0.020158
  295. Maryland-Eastern Shore -0.032084
  296. St. Peter’s -0.0661378
  297. Delaware State -0.111552
  1. Oregon State 6.56171
  2. UCLA 6.03292
  3. Arkansas 5.98997
  4. Stanford 5.83865
  5. Texas Tech 5.63436
  6. Florida 5.50825
  7. Auburn 5.38674
  8. Mississippi 5.25042
  9. Southern Mississippi 5.06599
  10. North Carolina 4.94687
  11. Georgia 4.84585
  12. Arizona 4.7815
  13. Coastal Carolina 4.72727
  14. Texas A&M 4.67278
  15. Vanderbilt 4.66269
  16. Tennessee Tech 4.50139
  17. Baylor 4.3446
  18. Minnesota 4.24829
  19. East Carolina 4.08927
  20. Kentucky 4.08301
  21. Louisville 4.06557
  22. Florida State 4.0625
  23. Mississippi State 4.04226
  24. Clemson 4.02995
  25. South Carolina 3.95236
  26. Missouri 3.92678
  27. North Carolina State 3.83829
  28. Louisiana State 3.82006
  29. Texas 3.77183
  30. Dallas Baptist 3.7192
  31. Troy 3.69437
  32. Duke 3.67198
  33. Texas Christian 3.65238
  34. Indiana 3.64361
  35. California 3.60206
  36. Oklahoma 3.45164
  37. Washington 3.44052
  38. Gonzaga 3.41029
  39. Louisiana Tech 3.31909
  40. Alabama 3.31115
  41. South Florida 3.28439
  42. Wichita State 3.25815
  43. Cal State Fullerton 3.19168
  44. Florida Atlantic 3.09413
  45. Missouri State 3.06199
  46. New Mexico State 3.05439
  47. San Diego State 3.03782
  48. Texas-San Antonio 2.96986
  49. Georgia Tech 2.86951
  50. South Alabama 2.82452
  51. Stetson 2.78947
  52. Illinois 2.77041
  53. St. John’s 2.74658
  54. Central Florida 2.7165
  55. Nevada-Las Vegas 2.63374
  56. Indiana State 2.54403
  57. Arizona State 2.5282
  58. Sam Houston State 2.51393
  59. Houston 2.49736
  60. Nevada 2.34665
  61. UC Irvine 2.33089
  62. Jacksonville 2.32517
  63. Michigan 2.2817
  64. Long Beach State 2.27409
  65. Wright State 2.2736
  66. Connecticut 2.20816
  67. Virginia 2.19592
  68. Rice 2.18843
  69. Kent State 2.18494
  70. Oregon 2.14829
  71. Sacramento State 2.07811
  72. Oklahoma State 2.04526
  73. Northwestern State 2.00879
  74. Ohio State 2.00336
  75. Miami_Florida 1.99649
  76. North Carolina-Charlotte 1.98691
  77. St. Mary’s 1.9864
  78. Pepperdine 1.97707
  79. Tennessee 1.97495
  80. Southeastern Louisiana 1.95521
  81. Southern California 1.91717
  82. West Virginia 1.89409
  83. Cal Poly 1.88752
  84. Cal State Northridge 1.87831
  85. Tulane 1.8716
  86. Purdue 1.84046
  87. Creighton 1.83827
  88. Texas State 1.79706
  89. North Carolina-Greensboro 1.78292
  90. Nebraska 1.78049
  91. College of Charleston 1.71371
  92. Grand Canyon 1.70788
  93. Louisiana-Lafayette 1.68295
  94. Houston Baptist 1.62853
  95. Iowa 1.59877
  96. St. Louis 1.5688
  97. Central Arkansas 1.52354
  98. Fresno State 1.45995
  99. Elon 1.45109
  100. UC Santa Barbara 1.37711
  101. Mercer 1.34988
  102. Wake Forest 1.32764
  103. Jacksonville State 1.2789
  104. Cincinnati 1.27113
  105. Northeastern 1.26201
  106. Georgia Southern 1.25305
  107. Samford 1.20415
  108. Bradley 1.16576
  109. Santa Clara 1.09253
  110. Brigham Young 1.09146
  111. San Francisco 1.07867
  112. Florida International 1.05842
  113. San Diego 1.05192
  114. Air Force 1.02959
  115. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 1.00616
  116. Morehead State 1.00348
  117. Washington State 0.966801
  118. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.948282
  119. Illinois State 0.923219
  120. Arkansas-Little Rock 0.921933
  121. New Orleans 0.836987
  122. Notre Dame 0.810765
  123. Hawaii 0.755719
  124. Pittsburgh 0.753853
  125. Southern Illinois 0.679944
  126. Loyola Marymount 0.677559
  127. Oral Roberts 0.638971
  128. North Florida 0.631507
  129. Memphis 0.581433
  130. Seton Hall 0.558115
  131. High Point 0.549184
  132. Portland 0.524292
  133. Florida Gulf Coast 0.517738
  134. UC Davis 0.515059
  135. Kansas 0.460829
  136. Wofford 0.449946
  137. Kennesaw State 0.413435
  138. Virginia Tech 0.400749
  139. Incarnate Word 0.398326
  140. Middle Tennessee State 0.395035
  141. Pacific 0.386725
  142. George Washington 0.354851
  143. Georgia State 0.332498
  144. Utah 0.308474
  145. Western Kentucky 0.295099
  146. Boston College 0.282471
  147. San Jose State 0.270985
  148. Liberty 0.259883
  149. Rutgers 0.203997
  150. Virginia Commonwealth 0.183963
  151. UC Riverside 0.180515
  152. Texas-Arlington 0.17616
  153. Davidson 0.174224
  154. Maryland 0.172951
  155. Seattle 0.164964
  156. Butler 0.112109
  157. Nicholls State 0.0921782
  158. Arkansas State 0.0761034
  159. Richmond 0.0522031
  160. Campbell 0.0440615
  161. New Mexico -0.0579884
  162. Southeast Missouri State -0.089271
  163. Canisius -0.108095
  164. Fordham -0.156335
  165. Michigan State -0.204761
  166. Valparaiso -0.208552
  167. James Madison -0.219601
  168. Alabama-Birmingham -0.225603
  169. Kansas State -0.26484
  170. Austin Peay State -0.266434
  171. McNeese State -0.266455
  172. Army -0.268636
  173. Illinois-Chicago -0.279573
  174. Ball State -0.281293
  175. East Tennessee State -0.351728
  176. Louisiana-Monroe -0.359052
  177. Lamar -0.372251
  178. Miami_Ohio -0.380052
  179. Old Dominion -0.453139
  180. Gardner-Webb -0.513545
  181. Eastern Kentucky -0.526522
  182. Bryant -0.533831
  183. Navy -0.570446
  184. Yale -0.58895
  185. Northern Colorado -0.63772
  186. Central Michigan -0.647362
  187. Texas-Rio Grande Valley -0.716157
  188. Marshall -0.738595
  189. Hofstra -0.762137
  190. Rhode Island -0.858374
  191. Lipscomb -0.891871
  192. VMI -0.904482
  193. Radford -0.908151
  194. Appalachian State -0.945232
  195. South Carolina-Upstate -0.964531
  196. Utah Valley -0.964905
  197. Western Michigan -0.986265
  198. North Carolina Central -1.0395
  199. George Mason -1.05685
  200. Xavier -1.07375
  201. Toledo -1.07887
  202. Hartford -1.08057
  203. Furman -1.11182
  204. Monmouth -1.22543
  205. Maine -1.23069
  206. Harvard -1.24491
  207. Marist -1.25331
  208. North Carolina A&T -1.25735
  209. Fairfield -1.34353
  210. Penn State -1.49116
  211. Winthrop -1.50317
  212. Evansville -1.5201
  213. Columbia -1.52354
  214. Bethune-Cookman -1.52609
  215. Massachusetts-Lowell -1.57412
  216. Wagner -1.588
  217. Stony Brook -1.62652
  218. Wisconsin-Milwaukee -1.64023
  219. Eastern Michigan -1.64351
  220. Cornell -1.66872
  221. CSU Bakersfield -1.6808
  222. Texas Southern -1.78424
  223. Murray State -1.79313
  224. Delaware -1.79749
  225. Northwestern -1.81134
  226. Binghamton -1.81426
  227. Eastern Illinois -1.84218
  228. Stephen F. Austin State -1.85709
  229. William and Mary -1.85784
  230. South Dakota State -1.8971
  231. Ohio -2.04262
  232. Belmont -2.08752
  233. North Dakota State -2.11931
  234. Dartmouth -2.12267
  235. New Jersey Tech -2.24377
  236. Bucknell -2.24478
  237. Abilene Christian -2.25956
  238. Dayton -2.29534
  239. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville -2.35523
  240. Brown -2.35626
  241. Georgetown -2.36376
  242. Presbyterian -2.3712
  243. Northern Illinois -2.46505
  244. Maryland-Baltimore County -2.59306
  245. Pennsylvania -2.63219
  246. The Citadel -2.65735
  247. Western Carolina -2.68165
  248. Quinnipiac -2.68293
  249. Niagara -2.68449
  250. Nebraska-Omaha -2.7353
  251. Holy Cross -2.74553
  252. Charleston Southern -2.74816
  253. Florida A&M -2.75345
  254. Manhattan -2.78067
  255. St. Joseph’s -2.79237
  256. Siena -2.87893
  257. Western Illinois -2.9472
  258. Albany -2.97572
  259. Lehigh -3.04314
  260. LIU-Brooklyn -3.04488
  261. Jackson State -3.09643
  262. North Carolina-Asheville -3.15355
  263. Alabama State -3.53857
  264. Massachusetts -3.54701
  265. Oakland -3.69254
  266. Villanova -3.73275
  267. Central Connecticut State -3.74506
  268. Iona -3.82958
  269. Youngstown State -3.93443
  270. Tennessee-Martin -4.04205
  271. Longwood -4.08052
  272. Bowling Green State -4.11726
  273. Princeton -4.21225
  274. Sacred Heart -4.26468
  275. Chicago State -4.3719
  276. Lafayette -4.45982
  277. Towson -4.54642
  278. Northern Kentucky -4.60588
  279. LaSalle -4.69049
  280. St. Bonaventure -4.85452
  281. Mount St. Mary’s -5.06424
  282. Savannah State -5.07259
  283. Southern -5.29859
  284. Rider -5.3561
  285. Coppin State -5.38904
  286. Grambling State -5.643
  287. IPFW -5.94525
  288. Arkansas-Pine Bluff -6.13877
  289. Norfolk State -6.46791
  290. Alabama A&M -7.06684
  291. Fairleigh Dickinson -7.5446
  292. Maryland-Eastern Shore -7.80704
  293. Delaware State -8.56297
  294. Prairie View A&M -8.62655
  295. Alcorn State -8.73182
  296. Mississippi Valley State -10.9506
  297. St. Peter’s -12.1188

References

  1. Boyd’s World, database for scores of college baseball games.
  2. Who’s #1?: The Science of Rating and Ranking, Amy N. Langville and Carl D. Meyer, Princeton University Press, 2012.
Go to Michael Mossinghoff’s home page.

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