Ranking College Baseball 2018

The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of the other teams in the nation. In essence, the Colley method uses strength of schedule to produce its ranking; the Massey method employs strength of schedule together with margin of victory. All 7627 games between Division I opponents occurring in the 2018 season, from February 16 through May 21 (just before the start of many conference tournaments), were used to produce these rankings. We use uniform weighting: each game is treated equally.

The Colley ranking is one of the six objective methods used to rank NCAA FBS college football teams. Another one of these methods was also designed by Kenneth Massey, who invented the eponymous method used here, but the Massey algorithm employed in college football is not the same as the method we use.

You can contrast these rankings with a number of NCAA Division I Baseball Rankings available from the NCAA, including RPI and poll-based methods, and with the Massey Ratings for NCAA Division I Baseball.

Rankings for All Division I Teams

Colley Ranking

Massey Ranking

  1. Stanford 0.960788
  2. Oregon State 0.922105
  3. Florida 0.90425
  4. Mississippi 0.887632
  5. Clemson 0.870326
  6. Georgia 0.864384
  7. Arkansas 0.863706
  8. Texas Tech 0.849052
  9. Florida State 0.835597
  10. Tennessee Tech 0.827095
  11. North Carolina 0.825863
  12. North Carolina State 0.824889
  13. East Carolina 0.822148
  14. Stetson 0.820981
  15. Auburn 0.817778
  16. Texas 0.81582
  17. Texas A&M 0.806709
  18. Louisville 0.794942
  19. Coastal Carolina 0.794838
  20. Duke 0.792855
  21. UCLA 0.791041
  22. Minnesota 0.787333
  23. Indiana 0.776723
  24. Kentucky 0.769449
  25. Southern Mississippi 0.766571
  26. South Florida 0.756616
  27. Florida Atlantic 0.750972
  28. Louisiana State 0.7498
  29. Missouri State 0.748735
  30. South Carolina 0.742737
  31. Missouri 0.742259
  32. Vanderbilt 0.741086
  33. Troy 0.740579
  34. Central Florida 0.739297
  35. Oklahoma 0.737926
  36. Jacksonville 0.737622
  37. San Diego State 0.730898
  38. Dallas Baptist 0.727137
  39. Mississippi State 0.727121
  40. Connecticut 0.724246
  41. Baylor 0.723507
  42. Wichita State 0.719265
  43. Houston 0.714312
  44. Sam Houston State 0.712551
  45. Arizona 0.711373
  46. Louisiana Tech 0.708437
  47. North Carolina-Greensboro 0.707304
  48. Louisiana-Lafayette 0.703208
  49. Oklahoma State 0.7031
  50. St. John’s 0.699559
  51. Cal State Fullerton 0.698001
  52. Illinois 0.695143
  53. Ohio State 0.692511
  54. Northeastern 0.690862
  55. Georgia Tech 0.690578
  56. Purdue 0.689855
  57. Texas Christian 0.685299
  58. California 0.681911
  59. South Alabama 0.675559
  60. Creighton 0.675184
  61. Washington 0.671717
  62. College of Charleston 0.671643
  63. Nevada-Las Vegas 0.668446
  64. Tennessee 0.664385
  65. UC Irvine 0.662357
  66. Nevada 0.658825
  67. Michigan 0.658296
  68. Southeastern Louisiana 0.658003
  69. Iowa 0.657915
  70. Miami_Florida 0.653893
  71. Georgia Southern 0.646913
  72. West Virginia 0.645334
  73. Alabama 0.640991
  74. Gonzaga 0.637802
  75. Pepperdine 0.634292
  76. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.63074
  77. North Carolina-Charlotte 0.629074
  78. Virginia 0.625301
  79. Texas-San Antonio 0.624851
  80. Wright State 0.624179
  81. Oregon 0.621569
  82. Fresno State 0.621555
  83. Southern California 0.621467
  84. Kent State 0.619824
  85. Cincinnati 0.619139
  86. Grand Canyon 0.615284
  87. Indiana State 0.610138
  88. New Mexico State 0.605833
  89. Florida Gulf Coast 0.604605
  90. Elon 0.603445
  91. Long Beach State 0.602137
  92. Bradley 0.602012
  93. Texas State 0.599464
  94. Wake Forest 0.59934
  95. Wofford 0.59651
  96. St. Mary’s 0.596196
  97. Hawaii 0.596003
  98. Tulane 0.593973
  99. St. Louis 0.590347
  100. Kansas 0.583807
  101. Arkansas-Little Rock 0.583257
  102. Seton Hall 0.581306
  103. Cal Poly 0.581054
  104. Mercer 0.578465
  105. Sacramento State 0.576662
  106. Notre Dame 0.57454
  107. Arizona State 0.573992
  108. Davidson 0.570807
  109. Samford 0.570118
  110. Rice 0.569871
  111. Central Arkansas 0.569785
  112. Georgia State 0.567788
  113. Nebraska 0.567681
  114. Fordham 0.565158
  115. Northwestern State 0.563974
  116. Santa Clara 0.563619
  117. San Francisco 0.557257
  118. San Diego 0.555072
  119. Jacksonville State 0.554249
  120. Butler 0.553558
  121. Pittsburgh 0.553245
  122. Oral Roberts 0.552985
  123. High Point 0.549972
  124. Virginia Commonwealth 0.54997
  125. Cal State Northridge 0.549894
  126. San Jose State 0.548979
  127. Campbell 0.548084
  128. Navy 0.544066
  129. Kennesaw State 0.54312
  130. Army 0.542491
  131. Middle Tennessee State 0.541948
  132. Florida International 0.541564
  133. Austin Peay State 0.540946
  134. Seattle 0.540438
  135. Richmond 0.539845
  136. Miami_Ohio 0.539823
  137. North Florida 0.535903
  138. Loyola Marymount 0.532975
  139. Wagner 0.531257
  140. Kansas State 0.530717
  141. Southern Illinois 0.528578
  142. Maryland 0.528552
  143. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.528141
  144. Morehead State 0.520747
  145. Portland 0.518572
  146. UC Santa Barbara 0.518337
  147. East Tennessee State 0.51799
  148. Liberty 0.514863
  149. Houston Baptist 0.514644
  150. George Washington 0.505031
  151. Pacific 0.502108
  152. Illinois State 0.501666
  153. Furman 0.500243
  154. Virginia Tech 0.498417
  155. Ball State 0.497078
  156. Air Force 0.494168
  157. Bryant 0.494133
  158. Rutgers 0.492964
  159. Brigham Young 0.492876
  160. Arkansas State 0.492771
  161. Washington State 0.488997
  162. James Madison 0.488759
  163. Rhode Island 0.488128
  164. New Mexico 0.48811
  165. Gardner-Webb 0.487901
  166. New Orleans 0.487243
  167. Lipscomb 0.486667
  168. VMI 0.484978
  169. Texas-Arlington 0.483409
  170. Northern Colorado 0.479331
  171. Memphis 0.474712
  172. McNeese State 0.472951
  173. Incarnate Word 0.472509
  174. Marist 0.472267
  175. Illinois-Chicago 0.470628
  176. Canisius 0.469006
  177. Delaware 0.468348
  178. Louisiana-Monroe 0.467467
  179. UC Riverside 0.460424
  180. Hofstra 0.458802
  181. Boston College 0.456685
  182. Michigan State 0.450238
  183. Alabama-Birmingham 0.449684
  184. Western Kentucky 0.449608
  185. Nicholls State 0.448465
  186. Yale 0.444965
  187. Stony Brook 0.441484
  188. Eastern Kentucky 0.440654
  189. Monmouth 0.438321
  190. Southeast Missouri State 0.435428
  191. Harvard 0.434326
  192. Jackson State 0.434304
  193. Winthrop 0.42267
  194. George Mason 0.422308
  195. North Carolina A&T 0.421237
  196. New Jersey Tech 0.418879
  197. Western Michigan 0.416214
  198. Georgetown 0.416124
  199. Appalachian State 0.412363
  200. Massachusetts-Lowell 0.411129
  201. Utah 0.410355
  202. South Carolina-Upstate 0.409975
  203. Central Michigan 0.408398
  204. Xavier 0.408144
  205. UC Davis 0.405519
  206. Hartford 0.404762
  207. Radford 0.403503
  208. Marshall 0.399972
  209. Murray State 0.399591
  210. Texas-Rio Grande Valley 0.398943
  211. Valparaiso 0.398225
  212. North Carolina Central 0.393969
  213. CSU Bakersfield 0.388041
  214. Toledo 0.387782
  215. Eastern Illinois 0.386596
  216. Columbia 0.384532
  217. Alabama State 0.384125
  218. Dayton 0.381427
  219. The Citadel 0.377918
  220. Holy Cross 0.374166
  221. St. Joseph’s 0.373572
  222. Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.373409
  223. Lamar 0.372788
  224. Bethune-Cookman 0.372358
  225. Manhattan 0.365238
  226. Texas Southern 0.364734
  227. Northwestern 0.359952
  228. Maryland-Baltimore County 0.354422
  229. Eastern Michigan 0.35317
  230. North Dakota State 0.352964
  231. Fairfield 0.343769
  232. Quinnipiac 0.342454
  233. Old Dominion 0.342388
  234. Penn State 0.340734
  235. LIU-Brooklyn 0.340081
  236. Dartmouth 0.338737
  237. Bucknell 0.336469
  238. Charleston Southern 0.334396
  239. Lehigh 0.333147
  240. Cornell 0.328834
  241. Niagara 0.326406
  242. Utah Valley 0.326224
  243. Florida A&M 0.321773
  244. William and Mary 0.317042
  245. Belmont 0.313311
  246. Stephen F. Austin State 0.311836
  247. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 0.311127
  248. Northern Illinois 0.306403
  249. Maine 0.305747
  250. Binghamton 0.302547
  251. Albany 0.300151
  252. Siena 0.29389
  253. Grambling State 0.292315
  254. Oakland 0.291393
  255. Evansville 0.288283
  256. Abilene Christian 0.287183
  257. Longwood 0.26957
  258. Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0.268568
  259. South Dakota State 0.267222
  260. Youngstown State 0.263834
  261. Massachusetts 0.263569
  262. Mount St. Mary’s 0.25698
  263. Ohio 0.252658
  264. Pennsylvania 0.252645
  265. Chicago State 0.252567
  266. Western Illinois 0.251108
  267. North Carolina-Asheville 0.24675
  268. Central Connecticut State 0.245174
  269. Presbyterian 0.238233
  270. Tennessee-Martin 0.236442
  271. Brown 0.234017
  272. Lafayette 0.230252
  273. Iona 0.22232
  274. Princeton 0.222066
  275. Northern Kentucky 0.222006
  276. Western Carolina 0.221051
  277. Nebraska-Omaha 0.217003
  278. Sacred Heart 0.211071
  279. Towson 0.194094
  280. Coppin State 0.192071
  281. Bowling Green State 0.172941
  282. LaSalle 0.165649
  283. St. Bonaventure 0.164671
  284. Alabama A&M 0.153273
  285. Villanova 0.146338
  286. Norfolk State 0.112352
  287. IPFW 0.112223
  288. Rider 0.106743
  289. Prairie View A&M 0.0995644
  290. Alcorn State 0.0992085
  291. Southern 0.0951298
  292. Savannah State 0.0770253
  293. Mississippi Valley State 0.0672759
  294. Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0224032
  295. Maryland-Eastern Shore -0.0268146
  296. St. Peter’s -0.0658312
  297. Delaware State -0.107679
  1. Stanford 6.20544
  2. UCLA 6.08174
  3. Texas Tech 5.96956
  4. Oregon State 5.93143
  5. Florida 5.81248
  6. Arkansas 5.58047
  7. Auburn 5.24448
  8. Mississippi 5.22091
  9. Southern Mississippi 5.14562
  10. Georgia 4.98051
  11. North Carolina 4.71611
  12. Tennessee Tech 4.59115
  13. Vanderbilt 4.58461
  14. Arizona 4.56048
  15. Texas A&M 4.48054
  16. Coastal Carolina 4.46661
  17. Baylor 4.14316
  18. Kentucky 4.08345
  19. Florida State 4.07093
  20. South Carolina 4.04899
  21. Minnesota 4.03569
  22. Clemson 4.02929
  23. North Carolina State 4.02741
  24. Missouri 4.00003
  25. East Carolina 3.95035
  26. Indiana 3.92159
  27. Mississippi State 3.88873
  28. Louisville 3.88844
  29. Louisiana State 3.78531
  30. Oklahoma 3.58768
  31. Dallas Baptist 3.58079
  32. Troy 3.56489
  33. Texas 3.55671
  34. California 3.48556
  35. Louisiana Tech 3.43189
  36. Wichita State 3.40135
  37. Duke 3.32147
  38. Texas Christian 3.25114
  39. South Florida 3.23766
  40. Alabama 3.22501
  41. San Diego State 3.03242
  42. Georgia Tech 3.02445
  43. New Mexico State 3.02067
  44. St. John’s 2.95539
  45. Texas-San Antonio 2.92149
  46. Florida Atlantic 2.91305
  47. Gonzaga 2.86733
  48. South Alabama 2.85206
  49. Central Florida 2.83406
  50. Missouri State 2.82273
  51. Cal State Fullerton 2.78849
  52. Illinois 2.774
  53. Washington 2.73105
  54. Indiana State 2.62021
  55. Nevada-Las Vegas 2.61998
  56. Nevada 2.54211
  57. Sam Houston State 2.53691
  58. Stetson 2.4459
  59. Arizona State 2.4289
  60. Jacksonville 2.42655
  61. UC Irvine 2.38435
  62. Michigan 2.35282
  63. Connecticut 2.31772
  64. Houston 2.29466
  65. Long Beach State 2.22762
  66. Ohio State 2.1945
  67. Wright State 2.15756
  68. Oregon 2.12402
  69. Oklahoma State 2.10194
  70. Virginia 2.09745
  71. North Carolina-Greensboro 2.09685
  72. Pepperdine 2.08629
  73. Kent State 2.08578
  74. Southeastern Louisiana 2.04468
  75. Rice 2.0303
  76. Miami_Florida 2.01375
  77. Tennessee 1.99983
  78. North Carolina-Charlotte 1.94498
  79. Louisiana-Lafayette 1.93308
  80. St. Mary’s 1.90719
  81. Tulane 1.90255
  82. College of Charleston 1.87791
  83. Creighton 1.85378
  84. Southern California 1.83592
  85. Northwestern State 1.82805
  86. Cal Poly 1.81877
  87. Nebraska 1.76859
  88. Cal State Northridge 1.76468
  89. Texas State 1.76216
  90. Grand Canyon 1.75744
  91. West Virginia 1.71976
  92. Central Arkansas 1.70198
  93. Elon 1.68061
  94. Purdue 1.66409
  95. Iowa 1.65998
  96. Northeastern 1.64226
  97. Sacramento State 1.61373
  98. St. Louis 1.57637
  99. Houston Baptist 1.49529
  100. Georgia Southern 1.48544
  101. Wake Forest 1.47838
  102. Fresno State 1.41996
  103. Cincinnati 1.38889
  104. UC Santa Barbara 1.35423
  105. Bradley 1.16949
  106. Mercer 1.12926
  107. San Francisco 1.11998
  108. Illinois State 1.09027
  109. Notre Dame 1.0874
  110. Jacksonville State 1.07791
  111. Santa Clara 1.02726
  112. Florida International 1.01851
  113. Arkansas-Little Rock 1.01642
  114. Brigham Young 1.01336
  115. Air Force 1.00982
  116. San Diego 0.986813
  117. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.981043
  118. Washington State 0.825424
  119. Samford 0.764377
  120. Loyola Marymount 0.756113
  121. Oral Roberts 0.719231
  122. Southern Illinois 0.706011
  123. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.699663
  124. High Point 0.661789
  125. New Orleans 0.629447
  126. Wofford 0.614903
  127. Morehead State 0.606246
  128. Hawaii 0.578004
  129. Memphis 0.57566
  130. Pittsburgh 0.55256
  131. Florida Gulf Coast 0.533057
  132. George Washington 0.526274
  133. North Florida 0.493083
  134. Kennesaw State 0.470926
  135. Portland 0.465196
  136. Virginia Tech 0.381696
  137. Middle Tennessee State 0.377754
  138. Incarnate Word 0.371602
  139. Kansas 0.362711
  140. Liberty 0.35852
  141. Georgia State 0.350304
  142. Pacific 0.341213
  143. Davidson 0.33695
  144. Boston College 0.317409
  145. UC Davis 0.295381
  146. Virginia Commonwealth 0.272926
  147. Texas-Arlington 0.267209
  148. Western Kentucky 0.258288
  149. Southeast Missouri State 0.214695
  150. Rutgers 0.210933
  151. Campbell 0.202922
  152. Utah 0.186062
  153. Maryland 0.163848
  154. Seattle 0.162367
  155. San Jose State 0.146119
  156. Butler 0.11734
  157. Arkansas State 0.109005
  158. Richmond 0.0880401
  159. Fordham 0.0543181
  160. UC Riverside 0.0375732
  161. Seton Hall -0.00586645
  162. New Mexico -0.10245
  163. Nicholls State -0.106892
  164. Ball State -0.109512
  165. Austin Peay State -0.125666
  166. James Madison -0.13227
  167. Army -0.204592
  168. McNeese State -0.219115
  169. Miami_Ohio -0.21926
  170. Canisius -0.227362
  171. East Tennessee State -0.25941
  172. Kansas State -0.280833
  173. Michigan State -0.338707
  174. Alabama-Birmingham -0.344857
  175. Louisiana-Monroe -0.352613
  176. Gardner-Webb -0.367121
  177. Bryant -0.367904
  178. Valparaiso -0.376172
  179. Illinois-Chicago -0.392612
  180. Yale -0.394535
  181. Lamar -0.441886
  182. Old Dominion -0.447133
  183. Navy -0.468878
  184. Hofstra -0.497782
  185. Northern Colorado -0.524794
  186. VMI -0.525495
  187. Eastern Kentucky -0.712869
  188. Marshall -0.748208
  189. Texas-Rio Grande Valley -0.766343
  190. Central Michigan -0.790657
  191. Rhode Island -0.81591
  192. Radford -0.90509
  193. Appalachian State -0.905265
  194. South Carolina-Upstate -0.935332
  195. Lipscomb -0.938339
  196. Western Michigan -0.952744
  197. North Carolina Central -0.96416
  198. Monmouth -0.974137
  199. Marist -0.990701
  200. Furman -0.991927
  201. North Carolina A&T -0.992851
  202. Toledo -1.01566
  203. Utah Valley -1.01877
  204. Xavier -1.06834
  205. Hartford -1.1187
  206. Maine -1.12701
  207. Harvard -1.23195
  208. Fairfield -1.30039
  209. George Mason -1.37779
  210. Winthrop -1.41646
  211. Evansville -1.42391
  212. Penn State -1.46881
  213. Wagner -1.48846
  214. Bethune-Cookman -1.49886
  215. Massachusetts-Lowell -1.51724
  216. Columbia -1.54669
  217. Eastern Michigan -1.5558
  218. Wisconsin-Milwaukee -1.60595
  219. CSU Bakersfield -1.60835
  220. Stony Brook -1.63256
  221. Eastern Illinois -1.65825
  222. Cornell -1.66538
  223. Texas Southern -1.74648
  224. Binghamton -1.75047
  225. William and Mary -1.76568
  226. Northwestern -1.82492
  227. South Dakota State -1.83285
  228. Murray State -1.84816
  229. Delaware -1.89941
  230. Stephen F. Austin State -1.91141
  231. North Dakota State -1.98382
  232. Ohio -2.0012
  233. Dartmouth -2.06704
  234. Belmont -2.09399
  235. Georgetown -2.09435
  236. New Jersey Tech -2.16342
  237. Bucknell -2.23166
  238. Dayton -2.2398
  239. Presbyterian -2.29855
  240. Abilene Christian -2.30091
  241. Brown -2.3371
  242. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville -2.35674
  243. Maryland-Baltimore County -2.38274
  244. Northern Illinois -2.42047
  245. Quinnipiac -2.52874
  246. Pennsylvania -2.59489
  247. The Citadel -2.59639
  248. Niagara -2.63687
  249. Nebraska-Omaha -2.68882
  250. Holy Cross -2.71382
  251. Florida A&M -2.73351
  252. Charleston Southern -2.74097
  253. Manhattan -2.74728
  254. St. Joseph’s -2.76117
  255. Western Illinois -2.79497
  256. Albany -2.85075
  257. Western Carolina -2.92192
  258. Siena -2.96876
  259. Lehigh -2.97676
  260. North Carolina-Asheville -3.10835
  261. Jackson State -3.14513
  262. LIU-Brooklyn -3.15537
  263. Massachusetts -3.53438
  264. Oakland -3.59666
  265. Alabama State -3.62855
  266. Central Connecticut State -3.67632
  267. Villanova -3.71174
  268. Iona -3.78138
  269. Youngstown State -3.93291
  270. Longwood -3.96412
  271. Tennessee-Martin -4.03022
  272. Bowling Green State -4.07622
  273. Princeton -4.17837
  274. Sacred Heart -4.19477
  275. Lafayette -4.38367
  276. Chicago State -4.38797
  277. Northern Kentucky -4.43345
  278. Towson -4.46297
  279. LaSalle -4.65811
  280. St. Bonaventure -4.80905
  281. Mount St. Mary’s -4.8174
  282. Savannah State -5.02269
  283. Coppin State -5.29491
  284. Rider -5.30853
  285. Southern -5.35756
  286. Grambling State -5.67578
  287. IPFW -5.88614
  288. Arkansas-Pine Bluff -6.17281
  289. Norfolk State -6.39553
  290. Alabama A&M -7.13738
  291. Fairleigh Dickinson -7.50428
  292. Maryland-Eastern Shore -7.72992
  293. Delaware State -8.5
  294. Prairie View A&M -8.6749
  295. Alcorn State -8.78927
  296. Mississippi Valley State -10.9924
  297. St. Peter’s -12.1047

References

  1. Boyd’s World, database for scores of college baseball games.
  2. Who’s #1?: The Science of Rating and Ranking, Amy N. Langville and Carl D. Meyer, Princeton University Press, 2012.
Go to Michael Mossinghoff’s home page.

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