Super College Baseball Rankings 2018

The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of the other teams in the nation. In essence, the Colley method uses strength of schedule to produce its ranking; the Massey method employs strength of schedule together with margin of victory. All 8050 games between Division I opponents occurring in the 2018 season, from February 16 through June 4, including the conference tournaments and the regionals, were used to produce these rankings. We use uniform weighting: each game is treated equally.

The Colley ranking was one of the six objective methods used to help rank NCAA FBS college football teams between 1998 and 2013 under the BCS ranking system. Another one of these methods was also designed by Kenneth Massey, who invented the eponymous method used here, but the Massey algorithm employed in college football is not the same as the method we use.

You can experiment with these ranking methods applied to international soccer at a companion website. On that site you may specify the importance of a number factors for soccer matches, and we produce a customized ranking of the teams playing in the FIFA World Cup.

You can contrast these rankings with a number of NCAA Division I Baseball Rankings available from the NCAA, including RPI and poll-based
methods, and with the Massey Ratings for NCAA Division I Baseball.

Rankings for Teams in the Super Regionals

Colley Ranking

Massey Ranking

  1. Oregon State 0.94545
  2. Florida 0.897871
  3. Arkansas 0.891715
  4. Texas Tech 0.855731
  5. Stetson 0.847809
  6. Auburn 0.841778
  7. Tennessee Tech 0.835401
  8. North Carolina 0.834242
  9. Minnesota 0.83029
  10. Texas 0.815257
  11. Duke 0.808226
  12. Vanderbilt 0.766457
  13. South Carolina 0.761225
  14. Mississippi State 0.752644
  15. Cal State Fullerton 0.746157
  16. Washington 0.727495
  1. Oregon State 6.45586
  2. Arkansas 5.87075
  3. Texas Tech 5.78506
  4. Auburn 5.46922
  5. Florida 5.41854
  6. North Carolina 4.9232
  7. Vanderbilt 4.77724
  8. Tennessee Tech 4.61906
  9. Minnesota 4.34938
  10. South Carolina 4.06363
  11. Mississippi State 3.92761
  12. Texas 3.67104
  13. Duke 3.51954
  14. Washington 3.42341
  15. Cal State Fullerton 3.18278
  16. Stetson 2.8012

Rankings for All Division I Teams

Colley Ranking

Massey Ranking

  1. Oregon State 0.94545
  2. Stanford 0.930245
  3. Mississippi 0.905366
  4. Florida 0.897871
  5. Arkansas 0.891715
  6. Texas Tech 0.855731
  7. Clemson 0.855158
  8. Stetson 0.847809
  9. Auburn 0.841778
  10. Georgia 0.839819
  11. Florida State 0.838251
  12. Tennessee Tech 0.835401
  13. North Carolina 0.834242
  14. Minnesota 0.83029
  15. East Carolina 0.826479
  16. Texas A&M 0.823513
  17. Texas 0.815257
  18. Duke 0.808226
  19. Louisville 0.802248
  20. Coastal Carolina 0.797148
  21. UCLA 0.794367
  22. North Carolina State 0.793964
  23. Louisiana State 0.783436
  24. Southern Mississippi 0.77247
  25. Kentucky 0.767145
  26. Vanderbilt 0.766457
  27. Florida Atlantic 0.761851
  28. South Carolina 0.761225
  29. Missouri State 0.760145
  30. Indiana 0.755498
  31. Mississippi State 0.752644
  32. Baylor 0.752227
  33. Troy 0.748372
  34. Cal State Fullerton 0.746157
  35. South Florida 0.745548
  36. Oklahoma 0.737583
  37. San Diego State 0.73754
  38. Missouri 0.736611
  39. Washington 0.727495
  40. Houston 0.726168
  41. Connecticut 0.725522
  42. Dallas Baptist 0.725074
  43. Jacksonville 0.723963
  44. Central Florida 0.723841
  45. Arizona 0.719405
  46. Texas Christian 0.710071
  47. Wichita State 0.708509
  48. St. John’s 0.700235
  49. Sam Houston State 0.69939
  50. Louisiana Tech 0.69906
  51. Oklahoma State 0.695276
  52. Purdue 0.695053
  53. Illinois 0.694983
  54. Louisiana-Lafayette 0.692727
  55. California 0.689226
  56. North Carolina-Greensboro 0.682467
  57. Ohio State 0.68011
  58. South Alabama 0.679553
  59. Northeastern 0.678741
  60. Creighton 0.675936
  61. Georgia Tech 0.672633
  62. Tennessee 0.667913
  63. Nevada-Las Vegas 0.66704
  64. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.658545
  65. Gonzaga 0.657309
  66. Miami_Florida 0.65553
  67. West Virginia 0.655357
  68. College of Charleston 0.650947
  69. Alabama 0.649184
  70. UC Irvine 0.647841
  71. Southeastern Louisiana 0.647075
  72. Michigan 0.64684
  73. Nevada 0.639535
  74. Kent State 0.638029
  75. North Carolina-Charlotte 0.63632
  76. Iowa 0.636192
  77. Pepperdine 0.634993
  78. Georgia Southern 0.631512
  79. Virginia 0.63025
  80. Wright State 0.624859
  81. Oregon 0.62298
  82. Fresno State 0.621848
  83. Texas-San Antonio 0.620646
  84. New Mexico State 0.617117
  85. Southern California 0.610577
  86. Long Beach State 0.610337
  87. Indiana State 0.607842
  88. Cal Poly 0.60724
  89. Texas State 0.605196
  90. Cincinnati 0.603512
  91. Grand Canyon 0.603243
  92. Florida Gulf Coast 0.60011
  93. Samford 0.59941
  94. Northwestern State 0.598717
  95. Sacramento State 0.598211
  96. Tulane 0.597465
  97. St. Louis 0.597254
  98. St. Mary’s 0.597065
  99. Bradley 0.596878
  100. Elon 0.595194
  101. Hawaii 0.591019
  102. Seton Hall 0.5876
  103. Kansas 0.587153
  104. Wofford 0.586261
  105. Wake Forest 0.584908
  106. Rice 0.583325
  107. Arkansas-Little Rock 0.577869
  108. Arizona State 0.577502
  109. Pittsburgh 0.574265
  110. Mercer 0.573137
  111. Nebraska 0.568733
  112. Cal State Northridge 0.566852
  113. Notre Dame 0.564533
  114. Santa Clara 0.563706
  115. Georgia State 0.558221
  116. Army 0.558007
  117. Central Arkansas 0.55658
  118. Davidson 0.555854
  119. San Diego 0.555467
  120. Morehead State 0.555419
  121. Jacksonville State 0.55499
  122. Campbell 0.554659
  123. High Point 0.554202
  124. Oral Roberts 0.552657
  125. North Florida 0.552628
  126. Fordham 0.549463
  127. Butler 0.547246
  128. UC Santa Barbara 0.547079
  129. San Jose State 0.546824
  130. Seattle 0.544652
  131. Middle Tennessee State 0.542437
  132. San Francisco 0.541757
  133. Miami_Ohio 0.536855
  134. Virginia Commonwealth 0.533327
  135. Navy 0.533095
  136. Florida International 0.532223
  137. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.531806
  138. Kennesaw State 0.530958
  139. Kansas State 0.530589
  140. Houston Baptist 0.530428
  141. Richmond 0.52887
  142. Loyola Marymount 0.528294
  143. Maryland 0.527593
  144. Austin Peay State 0.523856
  145. Wagner 0.517627
  146. Southern Illinois 0.517152
  147. Liberty 0.514903
  148. George Washington 0.512776
  149. Portland 0.511513
  150. New Orleans 0.505131
  151. East Tennessee State 0.503143
  152. Pacific 0.502712
  153. Virginia Tech 0.498107
  154. Brigham Young 0.495757
  155. Rutgers 0.493392
  156. Illinois State 0.492529
  157. Air Force 0.492203
  158. New Mexico 0.491807
  159. Canisius 0.48884
  160. Rhode Island 0.486981
  161. Ball State 0.486906
  162. Gardner-Webb 0.484174
  163. Texas-Arlington 0.483565
  164. James Madison 0.483495
  165. Arkansas State 0.48306
  166. Washington State 0.47995
  167. Furman 0.479778
  168. Bryant 0.479755
  169. Lipscomb 0.479087
  170. Incarnate Word 0.4763
  171. Memphis 0.476114
  172. Delaware 0.472104
  173. VMI 0.470157
  174. Illinois-Chicago 0.469867
  175. Louisiana-Monroe 0.467052
  176. Northern Colorado 0.46212
  177. Nicholls State 0.461385
  178. McNeese State 0.461312
  179. Eastern Kentucky 0.455255
  180. Boston College 0.454084
  181. Western Kentucky 0.451139
  182. UC Riverside 0.448828
  183. Marist 0.448186
  184. Michigan State 0.44453
  185. Alabama-Birmingham 0.443253
  186. Stony Brook 0.441652
  187. Hofstra 0.438561
  188. Jackson State 0.437795
  189. George Mason 0.436288
  190. Harvard 0.434506
  191. Monmouth 0.433751
  192. UC Davis 0.432469
  193. Southeast Missouri State 0.429624
  194. Utah 0.426319
  195. Hartford 0.424523
  196. Yale 0.420731
  197. Central Michigan 0.42048
  198. North Carolina A&T 0.413976
  199. Western Michigan 0.412985
  200. Appalachian State 0.411846
  201. Winthrop 0.40975
  202. New Jersey Tech 0.406216
  203. South Carolina-Upstate 0.405733
  204. Xavier 0.405566
  205. Texas-Rio Grande Valley 0.404076
  206. Valparaiso 0.402351
  207. Georgetown 0.401741
  208. Massachusetts-Lowell 0.399529
  209. Marshall 0.399344
  210. Radford 0.397731
  211. Columbia 0.394811
  212. CSU Bakersfield 0.391683
  213. Murray State 0.391433
  214. North Carolina Central 0.390839
  215. Alabama State 0.390243
  216. Eastern Illinois 0.379138
  217. Lamar 0.378652
  218. Dayton 0.378016
  219. Toledo 0.375006
  220. Holy Cross 0.372447
  221. Bethune-Cookman 0.370533
  222. St. Joseph’s 0.370339
  223. Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.370035
  224. LIU-Brooklyn 0.36703
  225. Texas Southern 0.366963
  226. Manhattan 0.36478
  227. The Citadel 0.363534
  228. Northwestern 0.35671
  229. Fairfield 0.340645
  230. Old Dominion 0.340507
  231. Penn State 0.339688
  232. North Dakota State 0.339494
  233. Bucknell 0.339269
  234. Dartmouth 0.337999
  235. Quinnipiac 0.336501
  236. Eastern Michigan 0.336081
  237. Maryland-Baltimore County 0.33267
  238. Lehigh 0.331301
  239. Cornell 0.328393
  240. Utah Valley 0.328379
  241. Florida A&M 0.320516
  242. Charleston Southern 0.319954
  243. Stephen F. Austin State 0.316717
  244. Belmont 0.313588
  245. Maine 0.311602
  246. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 0.311496
  247. William and Mary 0.311385
  248. Niagara 0.31024
  249. Northern Illinois 0.302412
  250. Binghamton 0.299868
  251. Siena 0.298265
  252. Grambling State 0.295394
  253. Abilene Christian 0.29167
  254. Albany 0.291349
  255. Oakland 0.277684
  256. Evansville 0.277531
  257. South Dakota State 0.27364
  258. Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0.271947
  259. Western Carolina 0.270242
  260. Massachusetts 0.263505
  261. Youngstown State 0.260885
  262. Longwood 0.256555
  263. Chicago State 0.253892
  264. Pennsylvania 0.251609
  265. Ohio 0.251334
  266. Mount St. Mary’s 0.244901
  267. Central Connecticut State 0.243155
  268. North Carolina-Asheville 0.242711
  269. Tennessee-Martin 0.236528
  270. Presbyterian 0.235615
  271. Brown 0.232687
  272. Western Illinois 0.228532
  273. Lafayette 0.227068
  274. Princeton 0.223189
  275. Iona 0.219665
  276. Nebraska-Omaha 0.214403
  277. Northern Kentucky 0.211737
  278. Sacred Heart 0.208687
  279. Towson 0.188861
  280. Coppin State 0.186842
  281. Bowling Green State 0.170485
  282. LaSalle 0.163936
  283. St. Bonaventure 0.163282
  284. Alabama A&M 0.159238
  285. Villanova 0.142944
  286. Norfolk State 0.107917
  287. IPFW 0.106977
  288. Rider 0.104794
  289. Prairie View A&M 0.10356
  290. Alcorn State 0.102772
  291. Southern 0.100747
  292. Savannah State 0.0746632
  293. Mississippi Valley State 0.0719638
  294. Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0206264
  295. Maryland-Eastern Shore -0.0314077
  296. St. Peter’s -0.0656684
  297. Delaware State -0.11106
  1. Oregon State 6.45586
  2. UCLA 6.02395
  3. Arkansas 5.87075
  4. Stanford 5.81668
  5. Texas Tech 5.78506
  6. Auburn 5.46922
  7. Florida 5.41854
  8. Mississippi 5.26108
  9. Southern Mississippi 5.06134
  10. North Carolina 4.9232
  11. Georgia 4.8443
  12. Vanderbilt 4.77724
  13. Arizona 4.76641
  14. Coastal Carolina 4.72959
  15. Texas A&M 4.66519
  16. Tennessee Tech 4.61906
  17. Minnesota 4.34938
  18. Baylor 4.34796
  19. Kentucky 4.0947
  20. East Carolina 4.08622
  21. Louisville 4.07062
  22. South Carolina 4.06363
  23. Florida State 4.04814
  24. Clemson 4.03612
  25. Missouri 3.93754
  26. Mississippi State 3.92761
  27. North Carolina State 3.8276
  28. Louisiana State 3.81058
  29. Dallas Baptist 3.7264
  30. Troy 3.69909
  31. Texas 3.67104
  32. Texas Christian 3.66634
  33. Indiana 3.64887
  34. California 3.58649
  35. Duke 3.51954
  36. Oklahoma 3.44975
  37. Washington 3.42341
  38. Gonzaga 3.40117
  39. Louisiana Tech 3.31983
  40. Alabama 3.30687
  41. South Florida 3.28086
  42. Wichita State 3.25975
  43. Cal State Fullerton 3.18278
  44. Florida Atlantic 3.08857
  45. Missouri State 3.0657
  46. New Mexico State 3.05516
  47. San Diego State 3.02958
  48. Texas-San Antonio 2.97496
  49. Georgia Tech 2.8604
  50. South Alabama 2.83849
  51. Stetson 2.8012
  52. Illinois 2.77649
  53. St. John’s 2.7565
  54. Central Florida 2.71118
  55. Nevada-Las Vegas 2.62898
  56. Indiana State 2.55369
  57. Arizona State 2.51275
  58. Sam Houston State 2.50985
  59. Houston 2.49251
  60. Nevada 2.33775
  61. UC Irvine 2.32401
  62. Jacksonville 2.32396
  63. Michigan 2.28325
  64. Wright State 2.27413
  65. Long Beach State 2.2703
  66. Connecticut 2.20784
  67. Rice 2.186
  68. Virginia 2.18308
  69. Kent State 2.17961
  70. Oregon 2.12793
  71. Sacramento State 2.07167
  72. Oklahoma State 2.05366
  73. Ohio State 2.01055
  74. Northwestern State 2.00402
  75. Tennessee 1.98791
  76. North Carolina-Charlotte 1.98527
  77. St. Mary’s 1.97821
  78. Miami_Florida 1.97809
  79. Pepperdine 1.97115
  80. Southeastern Louisiana 1.95114
  81. West Virginia 1.90712
  82. Southern California 1.89432
  83. Cal Poly 1.87801
  84. Cal State Northridge 1.87342
  85. Tulane 1.86992
  86. Purdue 1.84764
  87. Creighton 1.84759
  88. Texas State 1.79392
  89. North Carolina-Greensboro 1.78625
  90. Nebraska 1.78266
  91. College of Charleston 1.71969
  92. Grand Canyon 1.70518
  93. Louisiana-Lafayette 1.67937
  94. Houston Baptist 1.62486
  95. Iowa 1.60844
  96. St. Louis 1.57176
  97. Central Arkansas 1.52386
  98. Fresno State 1.45534
  99. Elon 1.45358
  100. UC Santa Barbara 1.36918
  101. Mercer 1.35182
  102. Wake Forest 1.31266
  103. Jacksonville State 1.29954
  104. Northeastern 1.28095
  105. Cincinnati 1.27234
  106. Georgia Southern 1.25602
  107. Samford 1.20994
  108. Bradley 1.17337
  109. Brigham Young 1.08878
  110. Santa Clara 1.08308
  111. San Francisco 1.07226
  112. Florida International 1.06021
  113. San Diego 1.04239
  114. Morehead State 1.02733
  115. Air Force 1.02565
  116. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.998472
  117. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.952166
  118. Washington State 0.950581
  119. Illinois State 0.935768
  120. Arkansas-Little Rock 0.930278
  121. New Orleans 0.829543
  122. Notre Dame 0.79753
  123. Hawaii 0.751371
  124. Pittsburgh 0.74096
  125. Southern Illinois 0.694473
  126. Loyola Marymount 0.66988
  127. Oral Roberts 0.64276
  128. North Florida 0.63301
  129. Memphis 0.583105
  130. Seton Hall 0.559026
  131. High Point 0.548097
  132. Florida Gulf Coast 0.518025
  133. Portland 0.513241
  134. UC Davis 0.508694
  135. Kansas 0.466427
  136. Wofford 0.452323
  137. Kennesaw State 0.422522
  138. Middle Tennessee State 0.40603
  139. Incarnate Word 0.396124
  140. Virginia Tech 0.388018
  141. Pacific 0.378927
  142. George Washington 0.356957
  143. Georgia State 0.339271
  144. Western Kentucky 0.304012
  145. Utah 0.292655
  146. Boston College 0.279116
  147. San Jose State 0.26452
  148. Liberty 0.255175
  149. Rutgers 0.209326
  150. Virginia Commonwealth 0.183733
  151. Texas-Arlington 0.180231
  152. Maryland 0.176208
  153. UC Riverside 0.173113
  154. Davidson 0.171524
  155. Seattle 0.159779
  156. Butler 0.116362
  157. Nicholls State 0.0843178
  158. Arkansas State 0.0807034
  159. Richmond 0.0496775
  160. Campbell 0.0362777
  161. New Mexico -0.0614348
  162. Southeast Missouri State -0.0693805
  163. Canisius -0.105719
  164. Fordham -0.158107
  165. Michigan State -0.196517
  166. Valparaiso -0.205308
  167. James Madison -0.216784
  168. Alabama-Birmingham -0.219923
  169. Austin Peay State -0.243907
  170. Kansas State -0.257739
  171. Army -0.271047
  172. McNeese State -0.273473
  173. Illinois-Chicago -0.279291
  174. Ball State -0.279457
  175. East Tennessee State -0.347178
  176. Louisiana-Monroe -0.359964
  177. Lamar -0.376646
  178. Miami_Ohio -0.380758
  179. Old Dominion -0.45178
  180. Eastern Kentucky -0.507157
  181. Gardner-Webb -0.519633
  182. Bryant -0.529344
  183. Navy -0.57413
  184. Yale -0.598858
  185. Northern Colorado -0.63982
  186. Central Michigan -0.647352
  187. Texas-Rio Grande Valley -0.717626
  188. Marshall -0.736545
  189. Hofstra -0.759184
  190. Rhode Island -0.864158
  191. Lipscomb -0.880083
  192. VMI -0.896358
  193. Radford -0.908346
  194. Appalachian State -0.943693
  195. South Carolina-Upstate -0.962621
  196. Utah Valley -0.977471
  197. Western Michigan -0.985482
  198. North Carolina Central -1.04617
  199. George Mason -1.05632
  200. Xavier -1.07187
  201. Toledo -1.07732
  202. Hartford -1.08535
  203. Furman -1.1049
  204. Maine -1.22057
  205. Monmouth -1.224
  206. Harvard -1.24249
  207. Marist -1.25253
  208. North Carolina A&T -1.25815
  209. Fairfield -1.34316
  210. Penn State -1.48308
  211. Winthrop -1.5009
  212. Evansville -1.50892
  213. Columbia -1.52776
  214. Bethune-Cookman -1.52934
  215. Massachusetts-Lowell -1.56689
  216. Wagner -1.58758
  217. Stony Brook -1.63017
  218. Wisconsin-Milwaukee -1.63645
  219. Eastern Michigan -1.64275
  220. Cornell -1.68291
  221. CSU Bakersfield -1.68611
  222. Murray State -1.77134
  223. Texas Southern -1.79267
  224. Delaware -1.79462
  225. Northwestern -1.81501
  226. Binghamton -1.81502
  227. Eastern Illinois -1.82174
  228. William and Mary -1.85636
  229. Stephen F. Austin State -1.86002
  230. South Dakota State -1.88638
  231. Ohio -2.04019
  232. Belmont -2.06598
  233. North Dakota State -2.11315
  234. Dartmouth -2.12621
  235. New Jersey Tech -2.24159
  236. Abilene Christian -2.26227
  237. Bucknell -2.2653
  238. Dayton -2.29941
  239. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville -2.33569
  240. Brown -2.35907
  241. Georgetown -2.36139
  242. Presbyterian -2.36792
  243. Northern Illinois -2.46263
  244. Maryland-Baltimore County -2.59096
  245. Pennsylvania -2.63339
  246. The Citadel -2.64949
  247. Western Carolina -2.67794
  248. Niagara -2.68359
  249. Quinnipiac -2.68368
  250. Nebraska-Omaha -2.72807
  251. Charleston Southern -2.74217
  252. Holy Cross -2.74915
  253. Florida A&M -2.75496
  254. Manhattan -2.78057
  255. St. Joseph’s -2.79417
  256. Siena -2.88451
  257. Western Illinois -2.93793
  258. Albany -2.97321
  259. LIU-Brooklyn -3.04427
  260. Lehigh -3.0463
  261. Jackson State -3.09813
  262. North Carolina-Asheville -3.1549
  263. Alabama State -3.53875
  264. Massachusetts -3.54876
  265. Oakland -3.68999
  266. Villanova -3.73326
  267. Central Connecticut State -3.74382
  268. Iona -3.83018
  269. Youngstown State -3.93236
  270. Tennessee-Martin -4.02218
  271. Longwood -4.07961
  272. Bowling Green State -4.11407
  273. Princeton -4.20508
  274. Sacred Heart -4.26422
  275. Chicago State -4.37132
  276. Lafayette -4.46212
  277. Towson -4.54373
  278. Northern Kentucky -4.60244
  279. LaSalle -4.68897
  280. St. Bonaventure -4.85421
  281. Mount St. Mary’s -5.06246
  282. Savannah State -5.07399
  283. Southern -5.30531
  284. Rider -5.35665
  285. Coppin State -5.3886
  286. Grambling State -5.6483
  287. IPFW -5.93711
  288. Arkansas-Pine Bluff -6.14088
  289. Norfolk State -6.46923
  290. Alabama A&M -7.0568
  291. Fairleigh Dickinson -7.54281
  292. Maryland-Eastern Shore -7.81052
  293. Delaware State -8.5634
  294. Prairie View A&M -8.63049
  295. Alcorn State -8.73482
  296. Mississippi Valley State -10.9497
  297. St. Peter’s -12.1187

References

  1. Boyd’s World, database for scores of college baseball games.
  2. Who’s #1?: The Science of Rating and Ranking, Amy N. Langville and Carl D. Meyer, Princeton University Press, 2012.
Go to Michael Mossinghoff’s home page.

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