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Michael Mossinghoff - 'CATS STATS https://catsstats.timchartier.com The Home of Davidson Sports Analytics. Tue, 12 Jun 2018 18:22:17 +0000 en hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=7.1.3 College World Series Baseball Rankings 2018 https://catsstats.timchartier.com/uncategorized/college-world-series-baseball-rankings-2018/ https://catsstats.timchartier.com/uncategorized/college-world-series-baseball-rankings-2018/#respond Tue, 12 Jun 2018 18:22:17 +0000 http://catsstats.timchartier.com/?p=393 The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of […]

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The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of the other teams in the nation. In essence, the Colley method uses strength of schedule to produce its ranking; the Massey method employs strength of schedule together with margin of victory. All 8072 games between Division I opponents occurring in the 2018 season, from February 16 through June 11, including the conference tournaments, regionals, and super regionals, were used to produce these rankings. We use uniform weighting: each game is treated equally.

The Colley ranking was one of the six objective methods used to help rank NCAA FBS college football teams between 1998 and 2013 under the BCS ranking system. Another one of these methods was also designed by Kenneth Massey, who invented the eponymous method used here, but the Massey algorithm employed in college football is not the same as the method we use.

You can experiment with these ranking methods applied to international soccer at a companion website. On that site you may specify the importance of a number factors for soccer matches, and we produce a customized ranking of the teams playing in the FIFA World Cup.

You can contrast these rankings with a number of NCAA Division I Baseball Rankings available from the NCAA, including RPI and poll-based methods, and with the Massey Ratings for NCAA Division I Baseball.

Rankings for Teams in the College World Series

Colley Ranking

Massey Ranking

  1. Oregon State 0.959145
  2. Florida 0.902254
  3. Arkansas 0.894261
  4. Texas Tech 0.862287
  5. North Carolina 0.850191
  6. Texas 0.824663
  7. Mississippi State 0.760549
  8. Washington 0.738032
  1. Oregon State 6.56171
  2. Arkansas 5.98997
  3. Texas Tech 5.63436
  4. Florida 5.50825
  5. North Carolina 4.94687
  6. Mississippi State 4.04226
  7. Texas 3.77183
  8. Washington 3.44052

Rankings for All Division I Teams

Colley Ranking

Massey Ranking

  1. Oregon State 0.959145
  2. Stanford 0.932567
  3. Mississippi 0.90469
  4. Florida 0.902254
  5. Arkansas 0.894261
  6. Texas Tech 0.862287
  7. Clemson 0.854898
  8. North Carolina 0.850191
  9. Georgia 0.839404
  10. Florida State 0.838463
  11. Auburn 0.837382
  12. Stetson 0.830886
  13. East Carolina 0.827662
  14. Tennessee Tech 0.826357
  15. Texas 0.824663
  16. Texas A&M 0.824041
  17. Minnesota 0.817624
  18. Duke 0.803483
  19. Louisville 0.803255
  20. Coastal Carolina 0.797647
  21. UCLA 0.795765
  22. North Carolina State 0.794764
  23. Louisiana State 0.784419
  24. Southern Mississippi 0.77285
  25. Kentucky 0.7673
  26. Florida Atlantic 0.762014
  27. Mississippi State 0.760549
  28. Missouri State 0.760248
  29. South Carolina 0.759786
  30. Vanderbilt 0.758132
  31. Indiana 0.754953
  32. Baylor 0.753532
  33. Troy 0.747742
  34. South Florida 0.745718
  35. Oklahoma 0.739158
  36. Cal State Fullerton 0.739015
  37. Washington 0.738032
  38. San Diego State 0.737973
  39. Missouri 0.736395
  40. Houston 0.726706
  41. Connecticut 0.725791
  42. Dallas Baptist 0.725318
  43. Central Florida 0.72357
  44. Jacksonville 0.722401
  45. Arizona 0.721622
  46. Texas Christian 0.710761
  47. Wichita State 0.708671
  48. Sam Houston State 0.699993
  49. St. John’s 0.69935
  50. Louisiana Tech 0.699194
  51. Oklahoma State 0.696105
  52. Illinois 0.694591
  53. Purdue 0.69377
  54. Louisiana-Lafayette 0.693343
  55. California 0.691701
  56. North Carolina-Greensboro 0.682181
  57. South Alabama 0.680077
  58. Ohio State 0.679476
  59. Northeastern 0.678821
  60. Creighton 0.675224
  61. Georgia Tech 0.673222
  62. Nevada-Las Vegas 0.667683
  63. Tennessee 0.667285
  64. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.659113
  65. Gonzaga 0.65864
  66. Miami_Florida 0.656296
  67. West Virginia 0.65621
  68. College of Charleston 0.650903
  69. Alabama 0.649567
  70. UC Irvine 0.648139
  71. Southeastern Louisiana 0.647576
  72. Michigan 0.646434
  73. Nevada 0.640491
  74. Kent State 0.638054
  75. North Carolina-Charlotte 0.636641
  76. Pepperdine 0.63551
  77. Iowa 0.635246
  78. Georgia Southern 0.631488
  79. Virginia 0.630915
  80. Oregon 0.625914
  81. Wright State 0.624912
  82. Fresno State 0.622289
  83. Texas-San Antonio 0.621348
  84. New Mexico State 0.618358
  85. Southern California 0.61287
  86. Long Beach State 0.609919
  87. Cal Poly 0.607521
  88. Indiana State 0.607389
  89. Texas State 0.605961
  90. Cincinnati 0.603635
  91. Grand Canyon 0.60353
  92. Sacramento State 0.599709
  93. Northwestern State 0.599331
  94. Samford 0.599016
  95. Florida Gulf Coast 0.598398
  96. St. Mary’s 0.598046
  97. Tulane 0.597284
  98. St. Louis 0.59665
  99. Bradley 0.596373
  100. Elon 0.595224
  101. Hawaii 0.590901
  102. Kansas 0.588349
  103. Seton Hall 0.587331
  104. Wofford 0.586062
  105. Wake Forest 0.5856
  106. Rice 0.583732
  107. Arizona State 0.57976
  108. Arkansas-Little Rock 0.577613
  109. Pittsburgh 0.575199
  110. Mercer 0.572907
  111. Nebraska 0.568596
  112. Cal State Northridge 0.566764
  113. Santa Clara 0.564822
  114. Notre Dame 0.564517
  115. Georgia State 0.557715
  116. Army 0.556973
  117. Central Arkansas 0.556801
  118. San Diego 0.556563
  119. Davidson 0.555273
  120. Campbell 0.554357
  121. High Point 0.55433
  122. Morehead State 0.55389
  123. Jacksonville State 0.553403
  124. Oral Roberts 0.55258
  125. North Florida 0.550649
  126. Fordham 0.548902
  127. San Jose State 0.547476
  128. UC Santa Barbara 0.547248
  129. Butler 0.546833
  130. Seattle 0.545621
  131. San Francisco 0.542697
  132. Middle Tennessee State 0.541818
  133. Miami_Ohio 0.536819
  134. Virginia Commonwealth 0.532924
  135. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.53276
  136. Navy 0.532501
  137. Kansas State 0.531728
  138. Florida International 0.531463
  139. Houston Baptist 0.531033
  140. Loyola Marymount 0.529172
  141. Kennesaw State 0.528476
  142. Richmond 0.527805
  143. Maryland 0.526653
  144. Austin Peay State 0.522324
  145. Wagner 0.516935
  146. Southern Illinois 0.516147
  147. Liberty 0.515428
  148. Portland 0.512972
  149. George Washington 0.511396
  150. New Orleans 0.505972
  151. Pacific 0.503613
  152. East Tennessee State 0.502795
  153. Virginia Tech 0.498677
  154. Brigham Young 0.496377
  155. New Mexico 0.493033
  156. Air Force 0.492671
  157. Illinois State 0.492448
  158. Rutgers 0.492362
  159. Canisius 0.488429
  160. Ball State 0.486621
  161. Rhode Island 0.48573
  162. Gardner-Webb 0.484097
  163. Texas-Arlington 0.483622
  164. James Madison 0.483357
  165. Arkansas State 0.483077
  166. Washington State 0.482469
  167. Furman 0.479562
  168. Bryant 0.479263
  169. Incarnate Word 0.476723
  170. Lipscomb 0.476678
  171. Memphis 0.476014
  172. Delaware 0.471919
  173. Illinois-Chicago 0.469926
  174. VMI 0.469821
  175. Louisiana-Monroe 0.467171
  176. Northern Colorado 0.462587
  177. McNeese State 0.462138
  178. Nicholls State 0.462124
  179. Boston College 0.454103
  180. Eastern Kentucky 0.453913
  181. Western Kentucky 0.450743
  182. UC Riverside 0.449471
  183. Marist 0.447839
  184. Michigan State 0.443588
  185. Alabama-Birmingham 0.442904
  186. Stony Brook 0.441785
  187. Hofstra 0.438457
  188. Jackson State 0.437851
  189. George Mason 0.435771
  190. Harvard 0.434378
  191. Monmouth 0.43336
  192. UC Davis 0.432672
  193. Utah 0.428828
  194. Southeast Missouri State 0.428211
  195. Hartford 0.425138
  196. Yale 0.420389
  197. Central Michigan 0.420162
  198. North Carolina A&T 0.413933
  199. Western Michigan 0.412653
  200. Appalachian State 0.412183
  201. Winthrop 0.409462
  202. Xavier 0.405449
  203. Texas-Rio Grande Valley 0.405086
  204. South Carolina-Upstate 0.404568
  205. New Jersey Tech 0.403781
  206. Valparaiso 0.402288
  207. Georgetown 0.401316
  208. Marshall 0.399268
  209. Massachusetts-Lowell 0.399065
  210. Radford 0.397538
  211. Columbia 0.394898
  212. CSU Bakersfield 0.392437
  213. Alabama State 0.390266
  214. Murray State 0.390056
  215. North Carolina Central 0.390049
  216. Lamar 0.379362
  217. Eastern Illinois 0.377757
  218. Dayton 0.377594
  219. Toledo 0.37474
  220. Holy Cross 0.372101
  221. St. Joseph’s 0.369978
  222. Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.369665
  223. Bethune-Cookman 0.3693
  224. Texas Southern 0.367903
  225. LIU-Brooklyn 0.366705
  226. Manhattan 0.363559
  227. The Citadel 0.363264
  228. Northwestern 0.356995
  229. Old Dominion 0.34048
  230. Fairfield 0.340064
  231. North Dakota State 0.339135
  232. Bucknell 0.338685
  233. Penn State 0.338485
  234. Dartmouth 0.338034
  235. Quinnipiac 0.336384
  236. Eastern Michigan 0.335904
  237. Maryland-Baltimore County 0.332443
  238. Lehigh 0.330812
  239. Utah Valley 0.329694
  240. Cornell 0.327885
  241. Florida A&M 0.319921
  242. Charleston Southern 0.319682
  243. Stephen F. Austin State 0.317257
  244. Maine 0.312268
  245. Belmont 0.312061
  246. William and Mary 0.311314
  247. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 0.310196
  248. Niagara 0.309813
  249. Northern Illinois 0.302199
  250. Binghamton 0.299778
  251. Siena 0.298223
  252. Grambling State 0.295645
  253. Abilene Christian 0.292153
  254. Albany 0.291302
  255. Oakland 0.277528
  256. Evansville 0.276692
  257. South Dakota State 0.272817
  258. Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0.272289
  259. Western Carolina 0.270367
  260. Massachusetts 0.263136
  261. Youngstown State 0.260775
  262. Longwood 0.255969
  263. Chicago State 0.253929
  264. Pennsylvania 0.251376
  265. Ohio 0.251095
  266. Mount St. Mary’s 0.244261
  267. Central Connecticut State 0.242854
  268. North Carolina-Asheville 0.242656
  269. Tennessee-Martin 0.235185
  270. Presbyterian 0.235009
  271. Brown 0.232744
  272. Western Illinois 0.228023
  273. Lafayette 0.226531
  274. Princeton 0.222933
  275. Iona 0.21933
  276. Nebraska-Omaha 0.214037
  277. Northern Kentucky 0.211443
  278. Sacred Heart 0.208253
  279. Towson 0.188682
  280. Coppin State 0.186252
  281. Bowling Green State 0.170139
  282. LaSalle 0.163427
  283. St. Bonaventure 0.162774
  284. Alabama A&M 0.158608
  285. Villanova 0.142552
  286. Norfolk State 0.107493
  287. IPFW 0.106478
  288. Rider 0.104423
  289. Prairie View A&M 0.104085
  290. Alcorn State 0.102997
  291. Southern 0.101338
  292. Savannah State 0.0741095
  293. Mississippi Valley State 0.0720644
  294. Fairleigh Dickinson 0.020158
  295. Maryland-Eastern Shore -0.032084
  296. St. Peter’s -0.0661378
  297. Delaware State -0.111552
  1. Oregon State 6.56171
  2. UCLA 6.03292
  3. Arkansas 5.98997
  4. Stanford 5.83865
  5. Texas Tech 5.63436
  6. Florida 5.50825
  7. Auburn 5.38674
  8. Mississippi 5.25042
  9. Southern Mississippi 5.06599
  10. North Carolina 4.94687
  11. Georgia 4.84585
  12. Arizona 4.7815
  13. Coastal Carolina 4.72727
  14. Texas A&M 4.67278
  15. Vanderbilt 4.66269
  16. Tennessee Tech 4.50139
  17. Baylor 4.3446
  18. Minnesota 4.24829
  19. East Carolina 4.08927
  20. Kentucky 4.08301
  21. Louisville 4.06557
  22. Florida State 4.0625
  23. Mississippi State 4.04226
  24. Clemson 4.02995
  25. South Carolina 3.95236
  26. Missouri 3.92678
  27. North Carolina State 3.83829
  28. Louisiana State 3.82006
  29. Texas 3.77183
  30. Dallas Baptist 3.7192
  31. Troy 3.69437
  32. Duke 3.67198
  33. Texas Christian 3.65238
  34. Indiana 3.64361
  35. California 3.60206
  36. Oklahoma 3.45164
  37. Washington 3.44052
  38. Gonzaga 3.41029
  39. Louisiana Tech 3.31909
  40. Alabama 3.31115
  41. South Florida 3.28439
  42. Wichita State 3.25815
  43. Cal State Fullerton 3.19168
  44. Florida Atlantic 3.09413
  45. Missouri State 3.06199
  46. New Mexico State 3.05439
  47. San Diego State 3.03782
  48. Texas-San Antonio 2.96986
  49. Georgia Tech 2.86951
  50. South Alabama 2.82452
  51. Stetson 2.78947
  52. Illinois 2.77041
  53. St. John’s 2.74658
  54. Central Florida 2.7165
  55. Nevada-Las Vegas 2.63374
  56. Indiana State 2.54403
  57. Arizona State 2.5282
  58. Sam Houston State 2.51393
  59. Houston 2.49736
  60. Nevada 2.34665
  61. UC Irvine 2.33089
  62. Jacksonville 2.32517
  63. Michigan 2.2817
  64. Long Beach State 2.27409
  65. Wright State 2.2736
  66. Connecticut 2.20816
  67. Virginia 2.19592
  68. Rice 2.18843
  69. Kent State 2.18494
  70. Oregon 2.14829
  71. Sacramento State 2.07811
  72. Oklahoma State 2.04526
  73. Northwestern State 2.00879
  74. Ohio State 2.00336
  75. Miami_Florida 1.99649
  76. North Carolina-Charlotte 1.98691
  77. St. Mary’s 1.9864
  78. Pepperdine 1.97707
  79. Tennessee 1.97495
  80. Southeastern Louisiana 1.95521
  81. Southern California 1.91717
  82. West Virginia 1.89409
  83. Cal Poly 1.88752
  84. Cal State Northridge 1.87831
  85. Tulane 1.8716
  86. Purdue 1.84046
  87. Creighton 1.83827
  88. Texas State 1.79706
  89. North Carolina-Greensboro 1.78292
  90. Nebraska 1.78049
  91. College of Charleston 1.71371
  92. Grand Canyon 1.70788
  93. Louisiana-Lafayette 1.68295
  94. Houston Baptist 1.62853
  95. Iowa 1.59877
  96. St. Louis 1.5688
  97. Central Arkansas 1.52354
  98. Fresno State 1.45995
  99. Elon 1.45109
  100. UC Santa Barbara 1.37711
  101. Mercer 1.34988
  102. Wake Forest 1.32764
  103. Jacksonville State 1.2789
  104. Cincinnati 1.27113
  105. Northeastern 1.26201
  106. Georgia Southern 1.25305
  107. Samford 1.20415
  108. Bradley 1.16576
  109. Santa Clara 1.09253
  110. Brigham Young 1.09146
  111. San Francisco 1.07867
  112. Florida International 1.05842
  113. San Diego 1.05192
  114. Air Force 1.02959
  115. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 1.00616
  116. Morehead State 1.00348
  117. Washington State 0.966801
  118. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.948282
  119. Illinois State 0.923219
  120. Arkansas-Little Rock 0.921933
  121. New Orleans 0.836987
  122. Notre Dame 0.810765
  123. Hawaii 0.755719
  124. Pittsburgh 0.753853
  125. Southern Illinois 0.679944
  126. Loyola Marymount 0.677559
  127. Oral Roberts 0.638971
  128. North Florida 0.631507
  129. Memphis 0.581433
  130. Seton Hall 0.558115
  131. High Point 0.549184
  132. Portland 0.524292
  133. Florida Gulf Coast 0.517738
  134. UC Davis 0.515059
  135. Kansas 0.460829
  136. Wofford 0.449946
  137. Kennesaw State 0.413435
  138. Virginia Tech 0.400749
  139. Incarnate Word 0.398326
  140. Middle Tennessee State 0.395035
  141. Pacific 0.386725
  142. George Washington 0.354851
  143. Georgia State 0.332498
  144. Utah 0.308474
  145. Western Kentucky 0.295099
  146. Boston College 0.282471
  147. San Jose State 0.270985
  148. Liberty 0.259883
  149. Rutgers 0.203997
  150. Virginia Commonwealth 0.183963
  151. UC Riverside 0.180515
  152. Texas-Arlington 0.17616
  153. Davidson 0.174224
  154. Maryland 0.172951
  155. Seattle 0.164964
  156. Butler 0.112109
  157. Nicholls State 0.0921782
  158. Arkansas State 0.0761034
  159. Richmond 0.0522031
  160. Campbell 0.0440615
  161. New Mexico -0.0579884
  162. Southeast Missouri State -0.089271
  163. Canisius -0.108095
  164. Fordham -0.156335
  165. Michigan State -0.204761
  166. Valparaiso -0.208552
  167. James Madison -0.219601
  168. Alabama-Birmingham -0.225603
  169. Kansas State -0.26484
  170. Austin Peay State -0.266434
  171. McNeese State -0.266455
  172. Army -0.268636
  173. Illinois-Chicago -0.279573
  174. Ball State -0.281293
  175. East Tennessee State -0.351728
  176. Louisiana-Monroe -0.359052
  177. Lamar -0.372251
  178. Miami_Ohio -0.380052
  179. Old Dominion -0.453139
  180. Gardner-Webb -0.513545
  181. Eastern Kentucky -0.526522
  182. Bryant -0.533831
  183. Navy -0.570446
  184. Yale -0.58895
  185. Northern Colorado -0.63772
  186. Central Michigan -0.647362
  187. Texas-Rio Grande Valley -0.716157
  188. Marshall -0.738595
  189. Hofstra -0.762137
  190. Rhode Island -0.858374
  191. Lipscomb -0.891871
  192. VMI -0.904482
  193. Radford -0.908151
  194. Appalachian State -0.945232
  195. South Carolina-Upstate -0.964531
  196. Utah Valley -0.964905
  197. Western Michigan -0.986265
  198. North Carolina Central -1.0395
  199. George Mason -1.05685
  200. Xavier -1.07375
  201. Toledo -1.07887
  202. Hartford -1.08057
  203. Furman -1.11182
  204. Monmouth -1.22543
  205. Maine -1.23069
  206. Harvard -1.24491
  207. Marist -1.25331
  208. North Carolina A&T -1.25735
  209. Fairfield -1.34353
  210. Penn State -1.49116
  211. Winthrop -1.50317
  212. Evansville -1.5201
  213. Columbia -1.52354
  214. Bethune-Cookman -1.52609
  215. Massachusetts-Lowell -1.57412
  216. Wagner -1.588
  217. Stony Brook -1.62652
  218. Wisconsin-Milwaukee -1.64023
  219. Eastern Michigan -1.64351
  220. Cornell -1.66872
  221. CSU Bakersfield -1.6808
  222. Texas Southern -1.78424
  223. Murray State -1.79313
  224. Delaware -1.79749
  225. Northwestern -1.81134
  226. Binghamton -1.81426
  227. Eastern Illinois -1.84218
  228. Stephen F. Austin State -1.85709
  229. William and Mary -1.85784
  230. South Dakota State -1.8971
  231. Ohio -2.04262
  232. Belmont -2.08752
  233. North Dakota State -2.11931
  234. Dartmouth -2.12267
  235. New Jersey Tech -2.24377
  236. Bucknell -2.24478
  237. Abilene Christian -2.25956
  238. Dayton -2.29534
  239. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville -2.35523
  240. Brown -2.35626
  241. Georgetown -2.36376
  242. Presbyterian -2.3712
  243. Northern Illinois -2.46505
  244. Maryland-Baltimore County -2.59306
  245. Pennsylvania -2.63219
  246. The Citadel -2.65735
  247. Western Carolina -2.68165
  248. Quinnipiac -2.68293
  249. Niagara -2.68449
  250. Nebraska-Omaha -2.7353
  251. Holy Cross -2.74553
  252. Charleston Southern -2.74816
  253. Florida A&M -2.75345
  254. Manhattan -2.78067
  255. St. Joseph’s -2.79237
  256. Siena -2.87893
  257. Western Illinois -2.9472
  258. Albany -2.97572
  259. Lehigh -3.04314
  260. LIU-Brooklyn -3.04488
  261. Jackson State -3.09643
  262. North Carolina-Asheville -3.15355
  263. Alabama State -3.53857
  264. Massachusetts -3.54701
  265. Oakland -3.69254
  266. Villanova -3.73275
  267. Central Connecticut State -3.74506
  268. Iona -3.82958
  269. Youngstown State -3.93443
  270. Tennessee-Martin -4.04205
  271. Longwood -4.08052
  272. Bowling Green State -4.11726
  273. Princeton -4.21225
  274. Sacred Heart -4.26468
  275. Chicago State -4.3719
  276. Lafayette -4.45982
  277. Towson -4.54642
  278. Northern Kentucky -4.60588
  279. LaSalle -4.69049
  280. St. Bonaventure -4.85452
  281. Mount St. Mary’s -5.06424
  282. Savannah State -5.07259
  283. Southern -5.29859
  284. Rider -5.3561
  285. Coppin State -5.38904
  286. Grambling State -5.643
  287. IPFW -5.94525
  288. Arkansas-Pine Bluff -6.13877
  289. Norfolk State -6.46791
  290. Alabama A&M -7.06684
  291. Fairleigh Dickinson -7.5446
  292. Maryland-Eastern Shore -7.80704
  293. Delaware State -8.56297
  294. Prairie View A&M -8.62655
  295. Alcorn State -8.73182
  296. Mississippi Valley State -10.9506
  297. St. Peter’s -12.1188

References

  1. Boyd’s World, database for scores of college baseball games.
  2. Who’s #1?: The Science of Rating and Ranking, Amy N. Langville and Carl D. Meyer, Princeton University Press, 2012.
Go to Michael Mossinghoff’s home page.

The post College World Series Baseball Rankings 2018 first appeared on 'CATS STATS.

]]> https://catsstats.timchartier.com/uncategorized/college-world-series-baseball-rankings-2018/feed/ 0 Super College Baseball Rankings 2018 https://catsstats.timchartier.com/uncategorized/super-college-baseball-rankings-2018/ https://catsstats.timchartier.com/uncategorized/super-college-baseball-rankings-2018/#respond Wed, 06 Jun 2018 13:39:39 +0000 http://catsstats.timchartier.com/?p=343 The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of […]

The post Super College Baseball Rankings 2018 first appeared on 'CATS STATS.

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The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of the other teams in the nation. In essence, the Colley method uses strength of schedule to produce its ranking; the Massey method employs strength of schedule together with margin of victory. All 8050 games between Division I opponents occurring in the 2018 season, from February 16 through June 4, including the conference tournaments and the regionals, were used to produce these rankings. We use uniform weighting: each game is treated equally.

The Colley ranking was one of the six objective methods used to help rank NCAA FBS college football teams between 1998 and 2013 under the BCS ranking system. Another one of these methods was also designed by Kenneth Massey, who invented the eponymous method used here, but the Massey algorithm employed in college football is not the same as the method we use.

You can experiment with these ranking methods applied to international soccer at a companion website. On that site you may specify the importance of a number factors for soccer matches, and we produce a customized ranking of the teams playing in the FIFA World Cup.

You can contrast these rankings with a number of NCAA Division I Baseball Rankings available from the NCAA, including RPI and poll-based
methods, and with the Massey Ratings for NCAA Division I Baseball.

Rankings for Teams in the Super Regionals

Colley Ranking

Massey Ranking

  1. Oregon State 0.94545
  2. Florida 0.897871
  3. Arkansas 0.891715
  4. Texas Tech 0.855731
  5. Stetson 0.847809
  6. Auburn 0.841778
  7. Tennessee Tech 0.835401
  8. North Carolina 0.834242
  9. Minnesota 0.83029
  10. Texas 0.815257
  11. Duke 0.808226
  12. Vanderbilt 0.766457
  13. South Carolina 0.761225
  14. Mississippi State 0.752644
  15. Cal State Fullerton 0.746157
  16. Washington 0.727495
  1. Oregon State 6.45586
  2. Arkansas 5.87075
  3. Texas Tech 5.78506
  4. Auburn 5.46922
  5. Florida 5.41854
  6. North Carolina 4.9232
  7. Vanderbilt 4.77724
  8. Tennessee Tech 4.61906
  9. Minnesota 4.34938
  10. South Carolina 4.06363
  11. Mississippi State 3.92761
  12. Texas 3.67104
  13. Duke 3.51954
  14. Washington 3.42341
  15. Cal State Fullerton 3.18278
  16. Stetson 2.8012

Rankings for All Division I Teams

Colley Ranking

Massey Ranking

  1. Oregon State 0.94545
  2. Stanford 0.930245
  3. Mississippi 0.905366
  4. Florida 0.897871
  5. Arkansas 0.891715
  6. Texas Tech 0.855731
  7. Clemson 0.855158
  8. Stetson 0.847809
  9. Auburn 0.841778
  10. Georgia 0.839819
  11. Florida State 0.838251
  12. Tennessee Tech 0.835401
  13. North Carolina 0.834242
  14. Minnesota 0.83029
  15. East Carolina 0.826479
  16. Texas A&M 0.823513
  17. Texas 0.815257
  18. Duke 0.808226
  19. Louisville 0.802248
  20. Coastal Carolina 0.797148
  21. UCLA 0.794367
  22. North Carolina State 0.793964
  23. Louisiana State 0.783436
  24. Southern Mississippi 0.77247
  25. Kentucky 0.767145
  26. Vanderbilt 0.766457
  27. Florida Atlantic 0.761851
  28. South Carolina 0.761225
  29. Missouri State 0.760145
  30. Indiana 0.755498
  31. Mississippi State 0.752644
  32. Baylor 0.752227
  33. Troy 0.748372
  34. Cal State Fullerton 0.746157
  35. South Florida 0.745548
  36. Oklahoma 0.737583
  37. San Diego State 0.73754
  38. Missouri 0.736611
  39. Washington 0.727495
  40. Houston 0.726168
  41. Connecticut 0.725522
  42. Dallas Baptist 0.725074
  43. Jacksonville 0.723963
  44. Central Florida 0.723841
  45. Arizona 0.719405
  46. Texas Christian 0.710071
  47. Wichita State 0.708509
  48. St. John’s 0.700235
  49. Sam Houston State 0.69939
  50. Louisiana Tech 0.69906
  51. Oklahoma State 0.695276
  52. Purdue 0.695053
  53. Illinois 0.694983
  54. Louisiana-Lafayette 0.692727
  55. California 0.689226
  56. North Carolina-Greensboro 0.682467
  57. Ohio State 0.68011
  58. South Alabama 0.679553
  59. Northeastern 0.678741
  60. Creighton 0.675936
  61. Georgia Tech 0.672633
  62. Tennessee 0.667913
  63. Nevada-Las Vegas 0.66704
  64. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.658545
  65. Gonzaga 0.657309
  66. Miami_Florida 0.65553
  67. West Virginia 0.655357
  68. College of Charleston 0.650947
  69. Alabama 0.649184
  70. UC Irvine 0.647841
  71. Southeastern Louisiana 0.647075
  72. Michigan 0.64684
  73. Nevada 0.639535
  74. Kent State 0.638029
  75. North Carolina-Charlotte 0.63632
  76. Iowa 0.636192
  77. Pepperdine 0.634993
  78. Georgia Southern 0.631512
  79. Virginia 0.63025
  80. Wright State 0.624859
  81. Oregon 0.62298
  82. Fresno State 0.621848
  83. Texas-San Antonio 0.620646
  84. New Mexico State 0.617117
  85. Southern California 0.610577
  86. Long Beach State 0.610337
  87. Indiana State 0.607842
  88. Cal Poly 0.60724
  89. Texas State 0.605196
  90. Cincinnati 0.603512
  91. Grand Canyon 0.603243
  92. Florida Gulf Coast 0.60011
  93. Samford 0.59941
  94. Northwestern State 0.598717
  95. Sacramento State 0.598211
  96. Tulane 0.597465
  97. St. Louis 0.597254
  98. St. Mary’s 0.597065
  99. Bradley 0.596878
  100. Elon 0.595194
  101. Hawaii 0.591019
  102. Seton Hall 0.5876
  103. Kansas 0.587153
  104. Wofford 0.586261
  105. Wake Forest 0.584908
  106. Rice 0.583325
  107. Arkansas-Little Rock 0.577869
  108. Arizona State 0.577502
  109. Pittsburgh 0.574265
  110. Mercer 0.573137
  111. Nebraska 0.568733
  112. Cal State Northridge 0.566852
  113. Notre Dame 0.564533
  114. Santa Clara 0.563706
  115. Georgia State 0.558221
  116. Army 0.558007
  117. Central Arkansas 0.55658
  118. Davidson 0.555854
  119. San Diego 0.555467
  120. Morehead State 0.555419
  121. Jacksonville State 0.55499
  122. Campbell 0.554659
  123. High Point 0.554202
  124. Oral Roberts 0.552657
  125. North Florida 0.552628
  126. Fordham 0.549463
  127. Butler 0.547246
  128. UC Santa Barbara 0.547079
  129. San Jose State 0.546824
  130. Seattle 0.544652
  131. Middle Tennessee State 0.542437
  132. San Francisco 0.541757
  133. Miami_Ohio 0.536855
  134. Virginia Commonwealth 0.533327
  135. Navy 0.533095
  136. Florida International 0.532223
  137. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.531806
  138. Kennesaw State 0.530958
  139. Kansas State 0.530589
  140. Houston Baptist 0.530428
  141. Richmond 0.52887
  142. Loyola Marymount 0.528294
  143. Maryland 0.527593
  144. Austin Peay State 0.523856
  145. Wagner 0.517627
  146. Southern Illinois 0.517152
  147. Liberty 0.514903
  148. George Washington 0.512776
  149. Portland 0.511513
  150. New Orleans 0.505131
  151. East Tennessee State 0.503143
  152. Pacific 0.502712
  153. Virginia Tech 0.498107
  154. Brigham Young 0.495757
  155. Rutgers 0.493392
  156. Illinois State 0.492529
  157. Air Force 0.492203
  158. New Mexico 0.491807
  159. Canisius 0.48884
  160. Rhode Island 0.486981
  161. Ball State 0.486906
  162. Gardner-Webb 0.484174
  163. Texas-Arlington 0.483565
  164. James Madison 0.483495
  165. Arkansas State 0.48306
  166. Washington State 0.47995
  167. Furman 0.479778
  168. Bryant 0.479755
  169. Lipscomb 0.479087
  170. Incarnate Word 0.4763
  171. Memphis 0.476114
  172. Delaware 0.472104
  173. VMI 0.470157
  174. Illinois-Chicago 0.469867
  175. Louisiana-Monroe 0.467052
  176. Northern Colorado 0.46212
  177. Nicholls State 0.461385
  178. McNeese State 0.461312
  179. Eastern Kentucky 0.455255
  180. Boston College 0.454084
  181. Western Kentucky 0.451139
  182. UC Riverside 0.448828
  183. Marist 0.448186
  184. Michigan State 0.44453
  185. Alabama-Birmingham 0.443253
  186. Stony Brook 0.441652
  187. Hofstra 0.438561
  188. Jackson State 0.437795
  189. George Mason 0.436288
  190. Harvard 0.434506
  191. Monmouth 0.433751
  192. UC Davis 0.432469
  193. Southeast Missouri State 0.429624
  194. Utah 0.426319
  195. Hartford 0.424523
  196. Yale 0.420731
  197. Central Michigan 0.42048
  198. North Carolina A&T 0.413976
  199. Western Michigan 0.412985
  200. Appalachian State 0.411846
  201. Winthrop 0.40975
  202. New Jersey Tech 0.406216
  203. South Carolina-Upstate 0.405733
  204. Xavier 0.405566
  205. Texas-Rio Grande Valley 0.404076
  206. Valparaiso 0.402351
  207. Georgetown 0.401741
  208. Massachusetts-Lowell 0.399529
  209. Marshall 0.399344
  210. Radford 0.397731
  211. Columbia 0.394811
  212. CSU Bakersfield 0.391683
  213. Murray State 0.391433
  214. North Carolina Central 0.390839
  215. Alabama State 0.390243
  216. Eastern Illinois 0.379138
  217. Lamar 0.378652
  218. Dayton 0.378016
  219. Toledo 0.375006
  220. Holy Cross 0.372447
  221. Bethune-Cookman 0.370533
  222. St. Joseph’s 0.370339
  223. Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.370035
  224. LIU-Brooklyn 0.36703
  225. Texas Southern 0.366963
  226. Manhattan 0.36478
  227. The Citadel 0.363534
  228. Northwestern 0.35671
  229. Fairfield 0.340645
  230. Old Dominion 0.340507
  231. Penn State 0.339688
  232. North Dakota State 0.339494
  233. Bucknell 0.339269
  234. Dartmouth 0.337999
  235. Quinnipiac 0.336501
  236. Eastern Michigan 0.336081
  237. Maryland-Baltimore County 0.33267
  238. Lehigh 0.331301
  239. Cornell 0.328393
  240. Utah Valley 0.328379
  241. Florida A&M 0.320516
  242. Charleston Southern 0.319954
  243. Stephen F. Austin State 0.316717
  244. Belmont 0.313588
  245. Maine 0.311602
  246. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 0.311496
  247. William and Mary 0.311385
  248. Niagara 0.31024
  249. Northern Illinois 0.302412
  250. Binghamton 0.299868
  251. Siena 0.298265
  252. Grambling State 0.295394
  253. Abilene Christian 0.29167
  254. Albany 0.291349
  255. Oakland 0.277684
  256. Evansville 0.277531
  257. South Dakota State 0.27364
  258. Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0.271947
  259. Western Carolina 0.270242
  260. Massachusetts 0.263505
  261. Youngstown State 0.260885
  262. Longwood 0.256555
  263. Chicago State 0.253892
  264. Pennsylvania 0.251609
  265. Ohio 0.251334
  266. Mount St. Mary’s 0.244901
  267. Central Connecticut State 0.243155
  268. North Carolina-Asheville 0.242711
  269. Tennessee-Martin 0.236528
  270. Presbyterian 0.235615
  271. Brown 0.232687
  272. Western Illinois 0.228532
  273. Lafayette 0.227068
  274. Princeton 0.223189
  275. Iona 0.219665
  276. Nebraska-Omaha 0.214403
  277. Northern Kentucky 0.211737
  278. Sacred Heart 0.208687
  279. Towson 0.188861
  280. Coppin State 0.186842
  281. Bowling Green State 0.170485
  282. LaSalle 0.163936
  283. St. Bonaventure 0.163282
  284. Alabama A&M 0.159238
  285. Villanova 0.142944
  286. Norfolk State 0.107917
  287. IPFW 0.106977
  288. Rider 0.104794
  289. Prairie View A&M 0.10356
  290. Alcorn State 0.102772
  291. Southern 0.100747
  292. Savannah State 0.0746632
  293. Mississippi Valley State 0.0719638
  294. Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0206264
  295. Maryland-Eastern Shore -0.0314077
  296. St. Peter’s -0.0656684
  297. Delaware State -0.11106
  1. Oregon State 6.45586
  2. UCLA 6.02395
  3. Arkansas 5.87075
  4. Stanford 5.81668
  5. Texas Tech 5.78506
  6. Auburn 5.46922
  7. Florida 5.41854
  8. Mississippi 5.26108
  9. Southern Mississippi 5.06134
  10. North Carolina 4.9232
  11. Georgia 4.8443
  12. Vanderbilt 4.77724
  13. Arizona 4.76641
  14. Coastal Carolina 4.72959
  15. Texas A&M 4.66519
  16. Tennessee Tech 4.61906
  17. Minnesota 4.34938
  18. Baylor 4.34796
  19. Kentucky 4.0947
  20. East Carolina 4.08622
  21. Louisville 4.07062
  22. South Carolina 4.06363
  23. Florida State 4.04814
  24. Clemson 4.03612
  25. Missouri 3.93754
  26. Mississippi State 3.92761
  27. North Carolina State 3.8276
  28. Louisiana State 3.81058
  29. Dallas Baptist 3.7264
  30. Troy 3.69909
  31. Texas 3.67104
  32. Texas Christian 3.66634
  33. Indiana 3.64887
  34. California 3.58649
  35. Duke 3.51954
  36. Oklahoma 3.44975
  37. Washington 3.42341
  38. Gonzaga 3.40117
  39. Louisiana Tech 3.31983
  40. Alabama 3.30687
  41. South Florida 3.28086
  42. Wichita State 3.25975
  43. Cal State Fullerton 3.18278
  44. Florida Atlantic 3.08857
  45. Missouri State 3.0657
  46. New Mexico State 3.05516
  47. San Diego State 3.02958
  48. Texas-San Antonio 2.97496
  49. Georgia Tech 2.8604
  50. South Alabama 2.83849
  51. Stetson 2.8012
  52. Illinois 2.77649
  53. St. John’s 2.7565
  54. Central Florida 2.71118
  55. Nevada-Las Vegas 2.62898
  56. Indiana State 2.55369
  57. Arizona State 2.51275
  58. Sam Houston State 2.50985
  59. Houston 2.49251
  60. Nevada 2.33775
  61. UC Irvine 2.32401
  62. Jacksonville 2.32396
  63. Michigan 2.28325
  64. Wright State 2.27413
  65. Long Beach State 2.2703
  66. Connecticut 2.20784
  67. Rice 2.186
  68. Virginia 2.18308
  69. Kent State 2.17961
  70. Oregon 2.12793
  71. Sacramento State 2.07167
  72. Oklahoma State 2.05366
  73. Ohio State 2.01055
  74. Northwestern State 2.00402
  75. Tennessee 1.98791
  76. North Carolina-Charlotte 1.98527
  77. St. Mary’s 1.97821
  78. Miami_Florida 1.97809
  79. Pepperdine 1.97115
  80. Southeastern Louisiana 1.95114
  81. West Virginia 1.90712
  82. Southern California 1.89432
  83. Cal Poly 1.87801
  84. Cal State Northridge 1.87342
  85. Tulane 1.86992
  86. Purdue 1.84764
  87. Creighton 1.84759
  88. Texas State 1.79392
  89. North Carolina-Greensboro 1.78625
  90. Nebraska 1.78266
  91. College of Charleston 1.71969
  92. Grand Canyon 1.70518
  93. Louisiana-Lafayette 1.67937
  94. Houston Baptist 1.62486
  95. Iowa 1.60844
  96. St. Louis 1.57176
  97. Central Arkansas 1.52386
  98. Fresno State 1.45534
  99. Elon 1.45358
  100. UC Santa Barbara 1.36918
  101. Mercer 1.35182
  102. Wake Forest 1.31266
  103. Jacksonville State 1.29954
  104. Northeastern 1.28095
  105. Cincinnati 1.27234
  106. Georgia Southern 1.25602
  107. Samford 1.20994
  108. Bradley 1.17337
  109. Brigham Young 1.08878
  110. Santa Clara 1.08308
  111. San Francisco 1.07226
  112. Florida International 1.06021
  113. San Diego 1.04239
  114. Morehead State 1.02733
  115. Air Force 1.02565
  116. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.998472
  117. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.952166
  118. Washington State 0.950581
  119. Illinois State 0.935768
  120. Arkansas-Little Rock 0.930278
  121. New Orleans 0.829543
  122. Notre Dame 0.79753
  123. Hawaii 0.751371
  124. Pittsburgh 0.74096
  125. Southern Illinois 0.694473
  126. Loyola Marymount 0.66988
  127. Oral Roberts 0.64276
  128. North Florida 0.63301
  129. Memphis 0.583105
  130. Seton Hall 0.559026
  131. High Point 0.548097
  132. Florida Gulf Coast 0.518025
  133. Portland 0.513241
  134. UC Davis 0.508694
  135. Kansas 0.466427
  136. Wofford 0.452323
  137. Kennesaw State 0.422522
  138. Middle Tennessee State 0.40603
  139. Incarnate Word 0.396124
  140. Virginia Tech 0.388018
  141. Pacific 0.378927
  142. George Washington 0.356957
  143. Georgia State 0.339271
  144. Western Kentucky 0.304012
  145. Utah 0.292655
  146. Boston College 0.279116
  147. San Jose State 0.26452
  148. Liberty 0.255175
  149. Rutgers 0.209326
  150. Virginia Commonwealth 0.183733
  151. Texas-Arlington 0.180231
  152. Maryland 0.176208
  153. UC Riverside 0.173113
  154. Davidson 0.171524
  155. Seattle 0.159779
  156. Butler 0.116362
  157. Nicholls State 0.0843178
  158. Arkansas State 0.0807034
  159. Richmond 0.0496775
  160. Campbell 0.0362777
  161. New Mexico -0.0614348
  162. Southeast Missouri State -0.0693805
  163. Canisius -0.105719
  164. Fordham -0.158107
  165. Michigan State -0.196517
  166. Valparaiso -0.205308
  167. James Madison -0.216784
  168. Alabama-Birmingham -0.219923
  169. Austin Peay State -0.243907
  170. Kansas State -0.257739
  171. Army -0.271047
  172. McNeese State -0.273473
  173. Illinois-Chicago -0.279291
  174. Ball State -0.279457
  175. East Tennessee State -0.347178
  176. Louisiana-Monroe -0.359964
  177. Lamar -0.376646
  178. Miami_Ohio -0.380758
  179. Old Dominion -0.45178
  180. Eastern Kentucky -0.507157
  181. Gardner-Webb -0.519633
  182. Bryant -0.529344
  183. Navy -0.57413
  184. Yale -0.598858
  185. Northern Colorado -0.63982
  186. Central Michigan -0.647352
  187. Texas-Rio Grande Valley -0.717626
  188. Marshall -0.736545
  189. Hofstra -0.759184
  190. Rhode Island -0.864158
  191. Lipscomb -0.880083
  192. VMI -0.896358
  193. Radford -0.908346
  194. Appalachian State -0.943693
  195. South Carolina-Upstate -0.962621
  196. Utah Valley -0.977471
  197. Western Michigan -0.985482
  198. North Carolina Central -1.04617
  199. George Mason -1.05632
  200. Xavier -1.07187
  201. Toledo -1.07732
  202. Hartford -1.08535
  203. Furman -1.1049
  204. Maine -1.22057
  205. Monmouth -1.224
  206. Harvard -1.24249
  207. Marist -1.25253
  208. North Carolina A&T -1.25815
  209. Fairfield -1.34316
  210. Penn State -1.48308
  211. Winthrop -1.5009
  212. Evansville -1.50892
  213. Columbia -1.52776
  214. Bethune-Cookman -1.52934
  215. Massachusetts-Lowell -1.56689
  216. Wagner -1.58758
  217. Stony Brook -1.63017
  218. Wisconsin-Milwaukee -1.63645
  219. Eastern Michigan -1.64275
  220. Cornell -1.68291
  221. CSU Bakersfield -1.68611
  222. Murray State -1.77134
  223. Texas Southern -1.79267
  224. Delaware -1.79462
  225. Northwestern -1.81501
  226. Binghamton -1.81502
  227. Eastern Illinois -1.82174
  228. William and Mary -1.85636
  229. Stephen F. Austin State -1.86002
  230. South Dakota State -1.88638
  231. Ohio -2.04019
  232. Belmont -2.06598
  233. North Dakota State -2.11315
  234. Dartmouth -2.12621
  235. New Jersey Tech -2.24159
  236. Abilene Christian -2.26227
  237. Bucknell -2.2653
  238. Dayton -2.29941
  239. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville -2.33569
  240. Brown -2.35907
  241. Georgetown -2.36139
  242. Presbyterian -2.36792
  243. Northern Illinois -2.46263
  244. Maryland-Baltimore County -2.59096
  245. Pennsylvania -2.63339
  246. The Citadel -2.64949
  247. Western Carolina -2.67794
  248. Niagara -2.68359
  249. Quinnipiac -2.68368
  250. Nebraska-Omaha -2.72807
  251. Charleston Southern -2.74217
  252. Holy Cross -2.74915
  253. Florida A&M -2.75496
  254. Manhattan -2.78057
  255. St. Joseph’s -2.79417
  256. Siena -2.88451
  257. Western Illinois -2.93793
  258. Albany -2.97321
  259. LIU-Brooklyn -3.04427
  260. Lehigh -3.0463
  261. Jackson State -3.09813
  262. North Carolina-Asheville -3.1549
  263. Alabama State -3.53875
  264. Massachusetts -3.54876
  265. Oakland -3.68999
  266. Villanova -3.73326
  267. Central Connecticut State -3.74382
  268. Iona -3.83018
  269. Youngstown State -3.93236
  270. Tennessee-Martin -4.02218
  271. Longwood -4.07961
  272. Bowling Green State -4.11407
  273. Princeton -4.20508
  274. Sacred Heart -4.26422
  275. Chicago State -4.37132
  276. Lafayette -4.46212
  277. Towson -4.54373
  278. Northern Kentucky -4.60244
  279. LaSalle -4.68897
  280. St. Bonaventure -4.85421
  281. Mount St. Mary’s -5.06246
  282. Savannah State -5.07399
  283. Southern -5.30531
  284. Rider -5.35665
  285. Coppin State -5.3886
  286. Grambling State -5.6483
  287. IPFW -5.93711
  288. Arkansas-Pine Bluff -6.14088
  289. Norfolk State -6.46923
  290. Alabama A&M -7.0568
  291. Fairleigh Dickinson -7.54281
  292. Maryland-Eastern Shore -7.81052
  293. Delaware State -8.5634
  294. Prairie View A&M -8.63049
  295. Alcorn State -8.73482
  296. Mississippi Valley State -10.9497
  297. St. Peter’s -12.1187

References

  1. Boyd’s World, database for scores of college baseball games.
  2. Who’s #1?: The Science of Rating and Ranking, Amy N. Langville and Carl D. Meyer, Princeton University Press, 2012.
Go to Michael Mossinghoff’s home page.

The post Super College Baseball Rankings 2018 first appeared on 'CATS STATS.

]]> https://catsstats.timchartier.com/uncategorized/super-college-baseball-rankings-2018/feed/ 0 Ranking College Baseball 2018 https://catsstats.timchartier.com/uncategorized/ranking-college-baseball-2018/ https://catsstats.timchartier.com/uncategorized/ranking-college-baseball-2018/#respond Tue, 22 May 2018 13:17:00 +0000 http://catsstats.timchartier.com/?p=335 The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of […]

The post Ranking College Baseball 2018 first appeared on 'CATS STATS.

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The Colley and Massey methods are two mathematical algorithms that use linear algebra to rank sports teams. Both use the network of interconnections formed by the match-ups between teams that occur over the course of a season to produce a full ranking of all the teams, even though each team plays only a subset of the other teams in the nation. In essence, the Colley method uses strength of schedule to produce its ranking; the Massey method employs strength of schedule together with margin of victory. All 7627 games between Division I opponents occurring in the 2018 season, from February 16 through May 21 (just before the start of many conference tournaments), were used to produce these rankings. We use uniform weighting: each game is treated equally.

The Colley ranking is one of the six objective methods used to rank NCAA FBS college football teams. Another one of these methods was also designed by Kenneth Massey, who invented the eponymous method used here, but the Massey algorithm employed in college football is not the same as the method we use.

You can contrast these rankings with a number of NCAA Division I Baseball Rankings available from the NCAA, including RPI and poll-based methods, and with the Massey Ratings for NCAA Division I Baseball.

Rankings for All Division I Teams

Colley Ranking

Massey Ranking

  1. Stanford 0.960788
  2. Oregon State 0.922105
  3. Florida 0.90425
  4. Mississippi 0.887632
  5. Clemson 0.870326
  6. Georgia 0.864384
  7. Arkansas 0.863706
  8. Texas Tech 0.849052
  9. Florida State 0.835597
  10. Tennessee Tech 0.827095
  11. North Carolina 0.825863
  12. North Carolina State 0.824889
  13. East Carolina 0.822148
  14. Stetson 0.820981
  15. Auburn 0.817778
  16. Texas 0.81582
  17. Texas A&M 0.806709
  18. Louisville 0.794942
  19. Coastal Carolina 0.794838
  20. Duke 0.792855
  21. UCLA 0.791041
  22. Minnesota 0.787333
  23. Indiana 0.776723
  24. Kentucky 0.769449
  25. Southern Mississippi 0.766571
  26. South Florida 0.756616
  27. Florida Atlantic 0.750972
  28. Louisiana State 0.7498
  29. Missouri State 0.748735
  30. South Carolina 0.742737
  31. Missouri 0.742259
  32. Vanderbilt 0.741086
  33. Troy 0.740579
  34. Central Florida 0.739297
  35. Oklahoma 0.737926
  36. Jacksonville 0.737622
  37. San Diego State 0.730898
  38. Dallas Baptist 0.727137
  39. Mississippi State 0.727121
  40. Connecticut 0.724246
  41. Baylor 0.723507
  42. Wichita State 0.719265
  43. Houston 0.714312
  44. Sam Houston State 0.712551
  45. Arizona 0.711373
  46. Louisiana Tech 0.708437
  47. North Carolina-Greensboro 0.707304
  48. Louisiana-Lafayette 0.703208
  49. Oklahoma State 0.7031
  50. St. John’s 0.699559
  51. Cal State Fullerton 0.698001
  52. Illinois 0.695143
  53. Ohio State 0.692511
  54. Northeastern 0.690862
  55. Georgia Tech 0.690578
  56. Purdue 0.689855
  57. Texas Christian 0.685299
  58. California 0.681911
  59. South Alabama 0.675559
  60. Creighton 0.675184
  61. Washington 0.671717
  62. College of Charleston 0.671643
  63. Nevada-Las Vegas 0.668446
  64. Tennessee 0.664385
  65. UC Irvine 0.662357
  66. Nevada 0.658825
  67. Michigan 0.658296
  68. Southeastern Louisiana 0.658003
  69. Iowa 0.657915
  70. Miami_Florida 0.653893
  71. Georgia Southern 0.646913
  72. West Virginia 0.645334
  73. Alabama 0.640991
  74. Gonzaga 0.637802
  75. Pepperdine 0.634292
  76. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.63074
  77. North Carolina-Charlotte 0.629074
  78. Virginia 0.625301
  79. Texas-San Antonio 0.624851
  80. Wright State 0.624179
  81. Oregon 0.621569
  82. Fresno State 0.621555
  83. Southern California 0.621467
  84. Kent State 0.619824
  85. Cincinnati 0.619139
  86. Grand Canyon 0.615284
  87. Indiana State 0.610138
  88. New Mexico State 0.605833
  89. Florida Gulf Coast 0.604605
  90. Elon 0.603445
  91. Long Beach State 0.602137
  92. Bradley 0.602012
  93. Texas State 0.599464
  94. Wake Forest 0.59934
  95. Wofford 0.59651
  96. St. Mary’s 0.596196
  97. Hawaii 0.596003
  98. Tulane 0.593973
  99. St. Louis 0.590347
  100. Kansas 0.583807
  101. Arkansas-Little Rock 0.583257
  102. Seton Hall 0.581306
  103. Cal Poly 0.581054
  104. Mercer 0.578465
  105. Sacramento State 0.576662
  106. Notre Dame 0.57454
  107. Arizona State 0.573992
  108. Davidson 0.570807
  109. Samford 0.570118
  110. Rice 0.569871
  111. Central Arkansas 0.569785
  112. Georgia State 0.567788
  113. Nebraska 0.567681
  114. Fordham 0.565158
  115. Northwestern State 0.563974
  116. Santa Clara 0.563619
  117. San Francisco 0.557257
  118. San Diego 0.555072
  119. Jacksonville State 0.554249
  120. Butler 0.553558
  121. Pittsburgh 0.553245
  122. Oral Roberts 0.552985
  123. High Point 0.549972
  124. Virginia Commonwealth 0.54997
  125. Cal State Northridge 0.549894
  126. San Jose State 0.548979
  127. Campbell 0.548084
  128. Navy 0.544066
  129. Kennesaw State 0.54312
  130. Army 0.542491
  131. Middle Tennessee State 0.541948
  132. Florida International 0.541564
  133. Austin Peay State 0.540946
  134. Seattle 0.540438
  135. Richmond 0.539845
  136. Miami_Ohio 0.539823
  137. North Florida 0.535903
  138. Loyola Marymount 0.532975
  139. Wagner 0.531257
  140. Kansas State 0.530717
  141. Southern Illinois 0.528578
  142. Maryland 0.528552
  143. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.528141
  144. Morehead State 0.520747
  145. Portland 0.518572
  146. UC Santa Barbara 0.518337
  147. East Tennessee State 0.51799
  148. Liberty 0.514863
  149. Houston Baptist 0.514644
  150. George Washington 0.505031
  151. Pacific 0.502108
  152. Illinois State 0.501666
  153. Furman 0.500243
  154. Virginia Tech 0.498417
  155. Ball State 0.497078
  156. Air Force 0.494168
  157. Bryant 0.494133
  158. Rutgers 0.492964
  159. Brigham Young 0.492876
  160. Arkansas State 0.492771
  161. Washington State 0.488997
  162. James Madison 0.488759
  163. Rhode Island 0.488128
  164. New Mexico 0.48811
  165. Gardner-Webb 0.487901
  166. New Orleans 0.487243
  167. Lipscomb 0.486667
  168. VMI 0.484978
  169. Texas-Arlington 0.483409
  170. Northern Colorado 0.479331
  171. Memphis 0.474712
  172. McNeese State 0.472951
  173. Incarnate Word 0.472509
  174. Marist 0.472267
  175. Illinois-Chicago 0.470628
  176. Canisius 0.469006
  177. Delaware 0.468348
  178. Louisiana-Monroe 0.467467
  179. UC Riverside 0.460424
  180. Hofstra 0.458802
  181. Boston College 0.456685
  182. Michigan State 0.450238
  183. Alabama-Birmingham 0.449684
  184. Western Kentucky 0.449608
  185. Nicholls State 0.448465
  186. Yale 0.444965
  187. Stony Brook 0.441484
  188. Eastern Kentucky 0.440654
  189. Monmouth 0.438321
  190. Southeast Missouri State 0.435428
  191. Harvard 0.434326
  192. Jackson State 0.434304
  193. Winthrop 0.42267
  194. George Mason 0.422308
  195. North Carolina A&T 0.421237
  196. New Jersey Tech 0.418879
  197. Western Michigan 0.416214
  198. Georgetown 0.416124
  199. Appalachian State 0.412363
  200. Massachusetts-Lowell 0.411129
  201. Utah 0.410355
  202. South Carolina-Upstate 0.409975
  203. Central Michigan 0.408398
  204. Xavier 0.408144
  205. UC Davis 0.405519
  206. Hartford 0.404762
  207. Radford 0.403503
  208. Marshall 0.399972
  209. Murray State 0.399591
  210. Texas-Rio Grande Valley 0.398943
  211. Valparaiso 0.398225
  212. North Carolina Central 0.393969
  213. CSU Bakersfield 0.388041
  214. Toledo 0.387782
  215. Eastern Illinois 0.386596
  216. Columbia 0.384532
  217. Alabama State 0.384125
  218. Dayton 0.381427
  219. The Citadel 0.377918
  220. Holy Cross 0.374166
  221. St. Joseph’s 0.373572
  222. Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0.373409
  223. Lamar 0.372788
  224. Bethune-Cookman 0.372358
  225. Manhattan 0.365238
  226. Texas Southern 0.364734
  227. Northwestern 0.359952
  228. Maryland-Baltimore County 0.354422
  229. Eastern Michigan 0.35317
  230. North Dakota State 0.352964
  231. Fairfield 0.343769
  232. Quinnipiac 0.342454
  233. Old Dominion 0.342388
  234. Penn State 0.340734
  235. LIU-Brooklyn 0.340081
  236. Dartmouth 0.338737
  237. Bucknell 0.336469
  238. Charleston Southern 0.334396
  239. Lehigh 0.333147
  240. Cornell 0.328834
  241. Niagara 0.326406
  242. Utah Valley 0.326224
  243. Florida A&M 0.321773
  244. William and Mary 0.317042
  245. Belmont 0.313311
  246. Stephen F. Austin State 0.311836
  247. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 0.311127
  248. Northern Illinois 0.306403
  249. Maine 0.305747
  250. Binghamton 0.302547
  251. Albany 0.300151
  252. Siena 0.29389
  253. Grambling State 0.292315
  254. Oakland 0.291393
  255. Evansville 0.288283
  256. Abilene Christian 0.287183
  257. Longwood 0.26957
  258. Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0.268568
  259. South Dakota State 0.267222
  260. Youngstown State 0.263834
  261. Massachusetts 0.263569
  262. Mount St. Mary’s 0.25698
  263. Ohio 0.252658
  264. Pennsylvania 0.252645
  265. Chicago State 0.252567
  266. Western Illinois 0.251108
  267. North Carolina-Asheville 0.24675
  268. Central Connecticut State 0.245174
  269. Presbyterian 0.238233
  270. Tennessee-Martin 0.236442
  271. Brown 0.234017
  272. Lafayette 0.230252
  273. Iona 0.22232
  274. Princeton 0.222066
  275. Northern Kentucky 0.222006
  276. Western Carolina 0.221051
  277. Nebraska-Omaha 0.217003
  278. Sacred Heart 0.211071
  279. Towson 0.194094
  280. Coppin State 0.192071
  281. Bowling Green State 0.172941
  282. LaSalle 0.165649
  283. St. Bonaventure 0.164671
  284. Alabama A&M 0.153273
  285. Villanova 0.146338
  286. Norfolk State 0.112352
  287. IPFW 0.112223
  288. Rider 0.106743
  289. Prairie View A&M 0.0995644
  290. Alcorn State 0.0992085
  291. Southern 0.0951298
  292. Savannah State 0.0770253
  293. Mississippi Valley State 0.0672759
  294. Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0224032
  295. Maryland-Eastern Shore -0.0268146
  296. St. Peter’s -0.0658312
  297. Delaware State -0.107679
  1. Stanford 6.20544
  2. UCLA 6.08174
  3. Texas Tech 5.96956
  4. Oregon State 5.93143
  5. Florida 5.81248
  6. Arkansas 5.58047
  7. Auburn 5.24448
  8. Mississippi 5.22091
  9. Southern Mississippi 5.14562
  10. Georgia 4.98051
  11. North Carolina 4.71611
  12. Tennessee Tech 4.59115
  13. Vanderbilt 4.58461
  14. Arizona 4.56048
  15. Texas A&M 4.48054
  16. Coastal Carolina 4.46661
  17. Baylor 4.14316
  18. Kentucky 4.08345
  19. Florida State 4.07093
  20. South Carolina 4.04899
  21. Minnesota 4.03569
  22. Clemson 4.02929
  23. North Carolina State 4.02741
  24. Missouri 4.00003
  25. East Carolina 3.95035
  26. Indiana 3.92159
  27. Mississippi State 3.88873
  28. Louisville 3.88844
  29. Louisiana State 3.78531
  30. Oklahoma 3.58768
  31. Dallas Baptist 3.58079
  32. Troy 3.56489
  33. Texas 3.55671
  34. California 3.48556
  35. Louisiana Tech 3.43189
  36. Wichita State 3.40135
  37. Duke 3.32147
  38. Texas Christian 3.25114
  39. South Florida 3.23766
  40. Alabama 3.22501
  41. San Diego State 3.03242
  42. Georgia Tech 3.02445
  43. New Mexico State 3.02067
  44. St. John’s 2.95539
  45. Texas-San Antonio 2.92149
  46. Florida Atlantic 2.91305
  47. Gonzaga 2.86733
  48. South Alabama 2.85206
  49. Central Florida 2.83406
  50. Missouri State 2.82273
  51. Cal State Fullerton 2.78849
  52. Illinois 2.774
  53. Washington 2.73105
  54. Indiana State 2.62021
  55. Nevada-Las Vegas 2.61998
  56. Nevada 2.54211
  57. Sam Houston State 2.53691
  58. Stetson 2.4459
  59. Arizona State 2.4289
  60. Jacksonville 2.42655
  61. UC Irvine 2.38435
  62. Michigan 2.35282
  63. Connecticut 2.31772
  64. Houston 2.29466
  65. Long Beach State 2.22762
  66. Ohio State 2.1945
  67. Wright State 2.15756
  68. Oregon 2.12402
  69. Oklahoma State 2.10194
  70. Virginia 2.09745
  71. North Carolina-Greensboro 2.09685
  72. Pepperdine 2.08629
  73. Kent State 2.08578
  74. Southeastern Louisiana 2.04468
  75. Rice 2.0303
  76. Miami_Florida 2.01375
  77. Tennessee 1.99983
  78. North Carolina-Charlotte 1.94498
  79. Louisiana-Lafayette 1.93308
  80. St. Mary’s 1.90719
  81. Tulane 1.90255
  82. College of Charleston 1.87791
  83. Creighton 1.85378
  84. Southern California 1.83592
  85. Northwestern State 1.82805
  86. Cal Poly 1.81877
  87. Nebraska 1.76859
  88. Cal State Northridge 1.76468
  89. Texas State 1.76216
  90. Grand Canyon 1.75744
  91. West Virginia 1.71976
  92. Central Arkansas 1.70198
  93. Elon 1.68061
  94. Purdue 1.66409
  95. Iowa 1.65998
  96. Northeastern 1.64226
  97. Sacramento State 1.61373
  98. St. Louis 1.57637
  99. Houston Baptist 1.49529
  100. Georgia Southern 1.48544
  101. Wake Forest 1.47838
  102. Fresno State 1.41996
  103. Cincinnati 1.38889
  104. UC Santa Barbara 1.35423
  105. Bradley 1.16949
  106. Mercer 1.12926
  107. San Francisco 1.11998
  108. Illinois State 1.09027
  109. Notre Dame 1.0874
  110. Jacksonville State 1.07791
  111. Santa Clara 1.02726
  112. Florida International 1.01851
  113. Arkansas-Little Rock 1.01642
  114. Brigham Young 1.01336
  115. Air Force 1.00982
  116. San Diego 0.986813
  117. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.981043
  118. Washington State 0.825424
  119. Samford 0.764377
  120. Loyola Marymount 0.756113
  121. Oral Roberts 0.719231
  122. Southern Illinois 0.706011
  123. North Carolina-Wilmington 0.699663
  124. High Point 0.661789
  125. New Orleans 0.629447
  126. Wofford 0.614903
  127. Morehead State 0.606246
  128. Hawaii 0.578004
  129. Memphis 0.57566
  130. Pittsburgh 0.55256
  131. Florida Gulf Coast 0.533057
  132. George Washington 0.526274
  133. North Florida 0.493083
  134. Kennesaw State 0.470926
  135. Portland 0.465196
  136. Virginia Tech 0.381696
  137. Middle Tennessee State 0.377754
  138. Incarnate Word 0.371602
  139. Kansas 0.362711
  140. Liberty 0.35852
  141. Georgia State 0.350304
  142. Pacific 0.341213
  143. Davidson 0.33695
  144. Boston College 0.317409
  145. UC Davis 0.295381
  146. Virginia Commonwealth 0.272926
  147. Texas-Arlington 0.267209
  148. Western Kentucky 0.258288
  149. Southeast Missouri State 0.214695
  150. Rutgers 0.210933
  151. Campbell 0.202922
  152. Utah 0.186062
  153. Maryland 0.163848
  154. Seattle 0.162367
  155. San Jose State 0.146119
  156. Butler 0.11734
  157. Arkansas State 0.109005
  158. Richmond 0.0880401
  159. Fordham 0.0543181
  160. UC Riverside 0.0375732
  161. Seton Hall -0.00586645
  162. New Mexico -0.10245
  163. Nicholls State -0.106892
  164. Ball State -0.109512
  165. Austin Peay State -0.125666
  166. James Madison -0.13227
  167. Army -0.204592
  168. McNeese State -0.219115
  169. Miami_Ohio -0.21926
  170. Canisius -0.227362
  171. East Tennessee State -0.25941
  172. Kansas State -0.280833
  173. Michigan State -0.338707
  174. Alabama-Birmingham -0.344857
  175. Louisiana-Monroe -0.352613
  176. Gardner-Webb -0.367121
  177. Bryant -0.367904
  178. Valparaiso -0.376172
  179. Illinois-Chicago -0.392612
  180. Yale -0.394535
  181. Lamar -0.441886
  182. Old Dominion -0.447133
  183. Navy -0.468878
  184. Hofstra -0.497782
  185. Northern Colorado -0.524794
  186. VMI -0.525495
  187. Eastern Kentucky -0.712869
  188. Marshall -0.748208
  189. Texas-Rio Grande Valley -0.766343
  190. Central Michigan -0.790657
  191. Rhode Island -0.81591
  192. Radford -0.90509
  193. Appalachian State -0.905265
  194. South Carolina-Upstate -0.935332
  195. Lipscomb -0.938339
  196. Western Michigan -0.952744
  197. North Carolina Central -0.96416
  198. Monmouth -0.974137
  199. Marist -0.990701
  200. Furman -0.991927
  201. North Carolina A&T -0.992851
  202. Toledo -1.01566
  203. Utah Valley -1.01877
  204. Xavier -1.06834
  205. Hartford -1.1187
  206. Maine -1.12701
  207. Harvard -1.23195
  208. Fairfield -1.30039
  209. George Mason -1.37779
  210. Winthrop -1.41646
  211. Evansville -1.42391
  212. Penn State -1.46881
  213. Wagner -1.48846
  214. Bethune-Cookman -1.49886
  215. Massachusetts-Lowell -1.51724
  216. Columbia -1.54669
  217. Eastern Michigan -1.5558
  218. Wisconsin-Milwaukee -1.60595
  219. CSU Bakersfield -1.60835
  220. Stony Brook -1.63256
  221. Eastern Illinois -1.65825
  222. Cornell -1.66538
  223. Texas Southern -1.74648
  224. Binghamton -1.75047
  225. William and Mary -1.76568
  226. Northwestern -1.82492
  227. South Dakota State -1.83285
  228. Murray State -1.84816
  229. Delaware -1.89941
  230. Stephen F. Austin State -1.91141
  231. North Dakota State -1.98382
  232. Ohio -2.0012
  233. Dartmouth -2.06704
  234. Belmont -2.09399
  235. Georgetown -2.09435
  236. New Jersey Tech -2.16342
  237. Bucknell -2.23166
  238. Dayton -2.2398
  239. Presbyterian -2.29855
  240. Abilene Christian -2.30091
  241. Brown -2.3371
  242. Southern Illinois-Edwardsville -2.35674
  243. Maryland-Baltimore County -2.38274
  244. Northern Illinois -2.42047
  245. Quinnipiac -2.52874
  246. Pennsylvania -2.59489
  247. The Citadel -2.59639
  248. Niagara -2.63687
  249. Nebraska-Omaha -2.68882
  250. Holy Cross -2.71382
  251. Florida A&M -2.73351
  252. Charleston Southern -2.74097
  253. Manhattan -2.74728
  254. St. Joseph’s -2.76117
  255. Western Illinois -2.79497
  256. Albany -2.85075
  257. Western Carolina -2.92192
  258. Siena -2.96876
  259. Lehigh -2.97676
  260. North Carolina-Asheville -3.10835
  261. Jackson State -3.14513
  262. LIU-Brooklyn -3.15537
  263. Massachusetts -3.53438
  264. Oakland -3.59666
  265. Alabama State -3.62855
  266. Central Connecticut State -3.67632
  267. Villanova -3.71174
  268. Iona -3.78138
  269. Youngstown State -3.93291
  270. Longwood -3.96412
  271. Tennessee-Martin -4.03022
  272. Bowling Green State -4.07622
  273. Princeton -4.17837
  274. Sacred Heart -4.19477
  275. Lafayette -4.38367
  276. Chicago State -4.38797
  277. Northern Kentucky -4.43345
  278. Towson -4.46297
  279. LaSalle -4.65811
  280. St. Bonaventure -4.80905
  281. Mount St. Mary’s -4.8174
  282. Savannah State -5.02269
  283. Coppin State -5.29491
  284. Rider -5.30853
  285. Southern -5.35756
  286. Grambling State -5.67578
  287. IPFW -5.88614
  288. Arkansas-Pine Bluff -6.17281
  289. Norfolk State -6.39553
  290. Alabama A&M -7.13738
  291. Fairleigh Dickinson -7.50428
  292. Maryland-Eastern Shore -7.72992
  293. Delaware State -8.5
  294. Prairie View A&M -8.6749
  295. Alcorn State -8.78927
  296. Mississippi Valley State -10.9924
  297. St. Peter’s -12.1047

References

  1. Boyd’s World, database for scores of college baseball games.
  2. Who’s #1?: The Science of Rating and Ranking, Amy N. Langville and Carl D. Meyer, Princeton University Press, 2012.
Go to Michael Mossinghoff’s home page.

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